Episode Transcript
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0:00
It's time for Windows Weekly. Paul Thorot's here. Richard Campbell's
0:02
here. We're going to talk about the implosion at
0:05
Intel rave reviews for the
0:07
new chips from AMD. Paul's
0:09
got some thoughts about the co-pilot
0:12
Plus PCs at Snapdragon. And
0:14
it's the return of WordStar. I know you've been
0:16
waiting for it. All that coming up next on
0:19
Windows Weekly. Podcasts
0:23
you love. From people you
0:25
trust. This
0:28
is Twitch. This
0:35
is Windows Weekly with Paul Thorot and
0:37
Richard Campbell. Episode 893 recorded Wednesday, August
0:40
7, 2024. The
0:45
WordStar look. It's
0:48
time for Windows Weekly, the show we
0:50
cover the latest news from Microsoft and
0:53
joining me in the
0:55
little tiny boxes to my left
0:57
and right, Paul Thorot from thorot.com.
1:00
Do you feel cramped in your little tiny box? I'm
1:02
feeling boxed in today, Leo. Enough
1:06
about a three shot. Three shot makes me happy.
1:08
And Richard Campbell. Yeah, we actually can do up
1:10
to eight if you want to invite some friends.
1:12
Look at one, CNN. From
1:14
Runners Radio. This is the new method.
1:17
You might as well get used to it,
1:19
kids, because there's no more old method after
1:22
today. This is the last Windows Weekly from
1:24
the site studios. Here we go. Up
1:27
into the attic. I have taken. You
1:30
know, it's funny. I have, I
1:32
don't know, a few awards. It's
1:35
eight or nine. And I was going
1:37
to leave them here. And then
1:39
slowly, one by one, I've got like, you know,
1:41
like Steve Martin. I can't. But
1:44
all I need is this. Well, I need this. So
1:46
I've brought them all home. And now there's a
1:48
shelf, which I always said I would never do
1:50
of awards. I
1:55
don't think much of this kind of stuff, my stuff, this
1:58
stuff myself, but my wife got a. writing
2:00
award a couple of years ago. That's cool. And
2:02
I said, my daughter was like,
2:04
oh, that's really, that's really impressive. I'm like, yeah, I mean,
2:06
it's, it's probably just a
2:09
coincidence that came eight or nine years after I got one,
2:11
but. It's. And
2:13
then, and I said, I
2:15
said, oh, there's a little rival. Do they make them?
2:17
I was like, do they make them smaller now? My
2:20
award is quite a bit bigger. Yeah,
2:24
I have an Emmy, but it's the little Emmy. I
2:28
have the, there's a, there's a regular Emmy,
2:30
which is pretty massive with a big
2:32
thing. And then I have a regional Emmy
2:35
award, which is like this. Compact.
2:38
It's, I have the comms with the region.
2:41
Yeah. I even brought
2:43
my Ziff Davis editors, or what
2:45
was it? Was a publisher
2:48
circle or a chairman circle back
2:50
when it was when
2:52
the chairman was, oh, I can't remember his
2:55
name now. Ziff or Davis. It
2:57
wasn't, it was after Bill Ziff. Oh,
3:00
I forgotten his name, which is probably a blessing. Um,
3:04
I have a tech TV award. I mean, I
3:07
go, wait, I, these awards go back 30 years
3:09
now. Wow. Since
3:12
I took over the company, I have
3:14
given myself the best boss award. Best
3:16
boss award. I have that mug. Nice.
3:19
So that's good. I have the mug. In
3:23
the, in the old phase of the MVP
3:25
program, one of the things you could do
3:27
is you could request a letter from Microsoft
3:29
to someone to say you're an MVP. Oh,
3:32
so I send it to the same friend every year.
3:35
Oh, that's cute. Congratulations. Just to let
3:37
you know, you're an MVP in our
3:39
book. Still an MVP. Yeah. I
3:41
am feeling a little inadequate though, because I have
3:43
an R2D2, but it's smaller than yours. I guess,
3:45
I guess it's like the Emmy. Paul
3:48
has the big R2 and I have the little R2. My
3:51
R2 is falling apart. I don't know if you
3:53
can see it, but I'm a little part. Those
3:55
pieces from the R2. It's
3:57
going to teeter over. I don't know. This R2. unit
4:00
needs a little work. Our two crisis. Let's
4:03
talk about Windows 11 because that's why people are
4:05
here. We welcome all
4:07
the club members and all the people
4:09
watching on all seven count them, seven
4:13
streams. There's discode
4:15
for the club members. There's
4:17
youtube.com/twit slash live for the
4:19
youtubers. There's twitch.tv slash twit
4:23
for people who like to watch on
4:25
Amazon's money losing twitch streams.
4:28
There's kick, which is the new guy in
4:30
town. He's like, no one knows him. He's
4:32
sitting in the corner. We should make friends,
4:34
but so far we haven't, uh,
4:37
there's linked in for no apparent
4:39
reason, but it is a Microsoft platform. So that's good. It
4:42
doesn't arrive in LinkedIn as like a
4:44
sponsored, uh, message from someone. Undoubtedly. I
4:46
have no idea. There's
4:49
also Facebook, but my
4:51
favorite we're on the fascist
4:54
platform, x.com. So now
4:56
we're going to sue people who don't
4:58
watch us. If you don't watch
5:00
us, we're going to put over that buddy.
5:02
It's going to be an anti-thrass suit too. Isn't
5:05
that hysterical? What is wrong with that man?
5:08
What is it? First, you know, a year ago, he said,
5:11
go F yourself to sponsors. Yeah.
5:13
Now he's saying, wait a minute.
5:16
Hold on. Anyway.
5:18
So seven streams, pick the one you
5:21
want. Watch. We have a unified chat.
5:23
So if you're chatting in one of those platforms, I
5:25
will see it may not respond
5:27
because I don't, I only have two hands. Um,
5:30
welcome to all of you and especially to
5:32
our club to members. Now the week D
5:34
mystery continues.
5:38
Don't, don't, don't, I feel like this is
5:41
the only reason I exist anymore. Just to
5:43
make sense of this nonsense, but, um,
5:45
just to kind of recap things, everybody
5:49
knows about patch Tuesday, second
5:51
Tuesday of every month, Microsoft
5:53
issues, quality updates for
5:55
windows. Um, security updates
5:58
are included these days. and
6:00
new features, et cetera, et cetera. They
6:03
have an insider program for testing new features that
6:05
they, you know, you ignore kind
6:07
of willy nilly, but whatever, they have various
6:09
channels. And then, I don't know,
6:11
I think it was last year, sometime last year or so, they
6:14
added a switch to Windows
6:17
updates. So anybody using Windows
6:19
11 could opt into
6:21
preview updates, which
6:23
are delivered also once a month, but on
6:25
the Tuesday of the fourth week of the
6:28
month, this is the week D update,
6:30
as we call it, right? Everyone
6:33
with me so far? So,
6:37
this past year, two years, has been
6:39
kind of interesting on the Windows update
6:41
front because Microsoft keeps changing the way
6:43
that they update Windows, right? So there
6:45
are different literal methods for updating
6:48
Windows, but also just the schedule and how things
6:50
are done and so forth. And so this
6:52
year, I'm not gonna remember all of them, but the big
6:55
one is that 24H2, which
6:58
historically or typically would be delivered in the second
7:00
half of the year, was partially
7:02
delivered in the first half of the
7:04
year for people on Snapdragon X-based PCs,
7:06
the Copilot Plus PCs. And
7:08
there'll be a second release later in the year for
7:10
everyone else. I provided a
7:13
tip probably two, three months ago now where anyone could
7:15
get this if they want, but for
7:17
this little magical slice in time, we have
7:20
three supported versions of Windows, all
7:22
with roughly the same feet. The
7:24
goal is for them to all have the same feature
7:27
set. We've talked about this, right? Yep.
7:32
What else am I missing? I'm missing all kinds
7:34
of stuff, but we'll just talk our way through
7:36
this. So a few weeks
7:39
back, we had patch
7:41
Tuesday in July and that got
7:43
Windows 11, 22H2 and 23H2 roughly
7:49
caught up to where 24H2 was. And
7:52
then a couple of weeks ago, we had that week
7:54
the update and the Tuesday came and what we did
7:56
when this weekly, I actually forgot about it. And
7:59
then I think it was, was Thursday or Friday, they
8:01
delivered, Microsoft did a week D
8:03
update for Windows 11, 22 and 23
8:05
H2, belatedly,
8:08
right? A couple of days late. I mean, that's been happening
8:10
this year. This is probably the third
8:12
time that's happened. It didn't go out
8:14
on the Tuesday, but it did go out. And okay.
8:17
And you look at these updates and you see,
8:19
okay, well, this is a couple of new things
8:21
in there. Minor updates to
8:24
the start menu, the taskbar. This
8:27
is the duplicate tab thing in file
8:29
Explorer that everyone is so excited to
8:31
have. And those
8:33
features are actually not in Windows 11,
8:36
24 H2. And
8:38
there was no 24 H2 week D update,
8:42
but coincidental to that on
8:44
the same day, Microsoft put a
8:46
new build of Windows 11, 24 H2 into
8:50
the release preview channel of the Windows
8:52
update. Sorry, the Windows inside
8:54
a program. And the
8:56
new features in that update map to
8:59
the features we see in week D
9:01
for 22 and 23 H2. So
9:04
my theory at the time was August
9:06
is gonna come around next
9:08
week. Let me look at the calendar to be sure. Yeah,
9:10
next week is patch Tuesday. And
9:12
maybe this was a little off. Maybe they intended
9:14
for this to be the week D update. They
9:17
just, whatever they ran out of time, whatever, there
9:19
must be some release window, who knows. And
9:22
this is going to be what would
9:25
have been the week D update. And
9:28
so that was the story as of last
9:30
Wednesday. Then
9:33
Microsoft on August 2nd, which was
9:36
probably Tuesday, no, it was Friday,
9:38
sorry, on August 2nd. Am
9:41
I doing the wrong, blah, blah, blah, blah? Yeah, so they
9:44
released a week D update for
9:46
Windows 11 in
9:48
August. That was for July. And
9:52
it is in fact the
9:54
same stuff that was in that release preview
9:58
build. and
10:01
some other stuff, right? So this is a bunch
10:03
of new features. So that we're probably
10:05
all going to get next Tuesday or
10:08
start to get because CFR is right, which is one of
10:10
those other, you know, new
10:12
methods that Microsoft has rolling out updates, right? They don't
10:14
just blurt it out into the world at the same
10:16
time. Like the features come out randomly,
10:19
essentially, right? So we're
10:21
going to have things like the ability to drag, pin
10:24
start menu, app shortcuts down to the taskbar
10:26
to pin them there. We're
10:29
going to have the ability to duplicate tabs.
10:31
We're going to have the ability again, because
10:33
this is a regression problem,
10:35
to drag files up
10:37
to the address bar in File
10:40
Explorer and then move or copy them
10:42
to a different location in the breadcrumb bar, like we used
10:44
to be able to do. This
10:47
is not the lock screen widgets, you know, all that
10:49
stuff, right? There's a million new ways to use Windows
10:51
share. Do you get a sense that like a bunch
10:53
of people are on vacation and so like the kids
10:55
are just having a good time? I
10:58
have no sense. I have the,
11:00
in fact, it is, if anything, nonsense, right?
11:02
I mean, I don't, that's
11:05
the thing. And honestly, that's been
11:07
what, I mean, ever since Windows
11:09
11, it's been confusing and alarming
11:11
and just, I feel
11:13
like this is parallel to you being on
11:16
the show. I think, I feel like- I
11:18
show up and the whole update process. I'm
11:20
not saying it's a causal relationship, but it's
11:22
interesting that, or to my memory
11:24
anyway, I seem to recall one
11:26
of the earliest conversations we had was, hey, there
11:28
are like three different versions of OneDrive now. And
11:30
they went, oh, what's going on there? And to
11:32
this day, they've never acknowledged that that happened. It
11:34
was like that for a year, year and a
11:37
half or more. I mean, it was, you
11:39
know, and then this is when features just
11:41
started appearing in Windows that were never tested. Fragmentation
11:43
is a constant problem with a company this big,
11:45
you know? Everybody has access to code bases and
11:47
they take advantage of it. Yep.
11:53
There's kind of a bigger topic
11:55
here in a way that has to do with
11:58
Microsoft and the markets. does
12:00
well in and doesn't do well in. And the thing
12:02
that's so weird about this is, this
12:05
is not what its primary and most
12:07
important customers want at all. It's
12:09
not what almost any customers want,
12:11
but I could sort of excuse
12:13
behavior that ignored consumers to
12:16
some degree because maybe they're not as important
12:18
to Microsoft. I would get that, but. Well,
12:20
at least they don't understand it. It's funny because I just
12:22
put a Windows server show in the can for run as,
12:25
which is a good, six weeks away
12:27
or something. And one of the- Who would you
12:29
talk to, by the way? If
12:31
it was Orin Thomas. Okay, nice. Right? The only guy
12:33
I know has written more books than you. Yeah. Yep.
12:37
And it's like, he's clearly not learning. But
12:41
one of the things he's teaching other people is just
12:43
how much money server makes. Like those
12:45
servers aren't going away. Yeah. This
12:48
is the, so this isn't like the return of
12:50
vinyl, right? No. It's not
12:52
like, you know, we're not all going back to
12:54
buying CDs in stores and not using Spotify or
12:56
whatever, but for Microsoft,
12:58
because of the marketing, or maybe
13:00
marketing is the wrong word, but
13:03
it's almost like a fiduciary need to market
13:06
Azure during those many years where it was
13:08
like 70% growth, 70% growth,
13:10
70% growth. This is what drove
13:13
Microsoft's market cap up with its share
13:15
price, right? Was this
13:18
Wall Street excitement over the cloud. And
13:21
they didn't talk about it a lot. Of course
13:23
they very purposefully obscure
13:25
their financials so they don't
13:27
have any specifics. But yeah,
13:30
I mean, Azure was growing, but it's
13:32
very likely that for a lot of that
13:35
time, server was the bigger business. Making money,
13:37
money, money, money. Cause that stuff's not going
13:39
away. And it was really, to me it
13:41
was very gratifying to spend time with Orin
13:43
talking about server and active directory and like
13:45
the thing. It's like
13:47
virtually every listener to run as has.
13:50
For IT, this is like my excitement over
13:53
WPF. It's like, it's back baby. It
13:56
never went away. Really went away, but
13:58
it's back in the cloud. context again
14:00
and it never stopped being
14:02
important. It never
14:05
left anyone's budget. It's
14:07
always been there. I'm not claiming this
14:09
is purposeful, but
14:12
I think it might be. That Microsoft
14:14
all of a sudden is talking
14:16
about server, again, at a time
14:18
when Azure growth has not leveled
14:20
off, but has slowed dramatically. And
14:22
now talking
14:25
about server wouldn't have a
14:27
negative impact on analysts watching the company
14:29
for growth, right? They've
14:31
been kind of worried about Azure for a while now, frankly,
14:33
and now we have got AI. Oh, look over here, another
14:35
new thing we can wave our hands at. Well,
14:38
I think we have this terrible conflict of interest
14:40
where they
14:43
want to move the stock price more than
14:45
they want to serve their customers. Yes,
14:49
it's the enterprise and
14:51
certification. Because
14:54
it makes, all that leadership
14:56
has an awful lot of stock. And
14:59
in theory, they have a fiduciary responsibility to
15:01
shareholders. That's what the Harvard Business School keeps
15:04
telling them. And
15:06
then even when you get down to the employee level, if
15:10
your leadership is banging on about Azure,
15:12
your best promotion path is focusing on
15:14
Azure. So it doesn't matter what you're
15:16
good at, what makes money. They're
15:19
in the trap. I lived this
15:21
nightmare because the topics, the products
15:23
that I care about at Microsoft
15:26
most are client products,
15:28
right? They're what we might think of as
15:30
consumer products, but they're really not really, right?
15:32
But just client products. The
15:35
entire company had a pivot on the cloud. And
15:38
the way that happened in Windows
15:40
as a client was Windows as
15:43
a service. Let's take
15:45
this spaghetti code of legacy, well,
15:49
infrastructure, client infrastructure, and we'll
15:51
pretend it's an online service, and we'll just update
15:53
it all the time. And
15:55
it was really, really bad for a really,
15:57
really long period of time. Terry
16:00
Myerson's pay package was,
16:02
or his bonuses were based on that
16:04
kind of growth that he was
16:07
never going to achieve. They cooked the books, they
16:09
were counting VM installs. Remember they were trying to
16:11
get to a billion installs Windows 10 at one
16:13
point in some really fast period of time. And
16:18
the irony or the weird coincidence,
16:20
I guess, of all this is that honestly today,
16:22
they got really good at updating Windows. Yeah.
16:25
No doubt about it. Because now they're just, I guess
16:27
anyone with a desk can pull a switch and something
16:29
goes out to Windows now. I don't know what's happening,
16:32
but yeah. So
16:34
hopefully the, as I
16:36
see Microsoft starting to stop, stopping
16:38
to pretend that Windows Server isn't a thing, when
16:41
the Jeff Wilsley's of the world who've never went away
16:44
are suddenly back, you know, in public
16:47
again. Yes. I love that
16:49
because. Although when I did the show on the
16:51
next version of Server, he wasn't allowed to say Server 2025. He
16:53
had to say, Server V next. Well, it
16:55
was probably just the timing of the, you
16:58
don't want to, well, you know, what if they
17:00
missed the, I don't know. I hear you. If
17:02
you miss 2025, you really miss something like that.
17:04
Yeah. So
17:06
yeah, this is, this
17:09
is where we're at, right? And so we just
17:11
don't, like I said, it
17:13
doesn't make sense to me that
17:15
Microsoft does things so erratically and
17:18
chaotically because it's primary customers.
17:20
It's, it's, and
17:22
it's probably a bigger, higher percentage now than
17:24
it's ever been. But the historic number we've
17:26
always used is, you know, two thirds of
17:29
windows from a revenue perspective comes
17:32
from commercial, not from a consumer,
17:34
right? But my God, there's
17:37
been a lot of focus on, you know, Copilot
17:39
plus PC, local AI. But that's
17:41
not happening on the server side. The server
17:43
side, incremental improvements. Because what do
17:45
you want from a server but reliability? Have
17:47
they added Copilot to the Windows Server desktop
17:49
yet? Why no, no, they've not. In
17:52
fact, they're doing their very best to get rid of
17:54
the desktop entirely, right? They don't want you
17:56
to already pee into those servers anymore. They don't think
17:58
you should have a GUI there anymore. Yep,
18:01
I sure. Yeah, we're all good on
18:03
server. They're not wrong. Well,
18:05
I mean, I think one of the hot new tips of 2025 is
18:08
gonna be the same as it was in 2005, which is
18:10
how you can get a copy of Windows Server and
18:12
make it run like a Windows client, you know? Just
18:14
so you can get escape from all the terribleness that's
18:16
happening. Yeah, no, I did that at one point. I
18:18
had one of my P4 laptops, you know, the one
18:21
you could cook food on, that
18:23
I ran a server edition of, I think, 2000. I
18:25
think it was 2002. Oh yeah, no, we all tried
18:27
this at one point, I mean. Just
18:30
something, something to leave me alone. So I have
18:32
stuff to do. God
18:35
forbid. Yeah, anyway, it's so distracting.
18:38
No, it all ties in together. I mean,
18:40
honestly, those two things parallel each other, right,
18:42
so Windows was the
18:44
thing that didn't fit, it
18:46
was the square peg and everything else was
18:48
round holes. It just didn't make sense in
18:50
Microsoft. Still doesn't, right? No.
18:53
Server. Never stopped making money. Yeah,
18:56
well, the parallel there is Apple IIe in
18:58
the 80s was the thing making all the
19:00
money for Apple, but they were selling the
19:02
Mac. Yeah. You know, they
19:05
kind of wanted it to go away. The difference there
19:07
is that that transition was always gonna happen with
19:10
the server, and this is true on the client to
19:12
a little small degree, but the server especially because of
19:14
the, you
19:16
know, the nature of the cloud and infrastructure and so
19:18
forth. I mean, it was never really, it was never
19:20
going to go away. No. The question
19:22
was what the plateau was, and I think it ended
19:25
up- Is ever on the .NET world- Higher
19:27
than they thought. We deploy .NET
19:29
code to Linux instances now because it saves us 25%
19:31
right off the bat. Yeah,
19:33
nice. Hopefully they're running on Azure, but that's fine.
19:36
That's where they're running, but you can run them
19:38
elsewhere. They run fine on GCP and they run
19:40
fine on AWS as
19:42
well, but why? Right, right. And
19:45
if you've got IIS chops, app service
19:48
seems very familiar, right? Like it's not
19:50
hard to get around in there. You'll
19:52
recognize it. Right. But
19:54
on the client side, changing clients
19:56
is hard, and folks,
19:59
we've- I mean, we were joking before
20:01
the show about the difficulty of going
20:03
from a Mac keyboard to a Windows
20:05
keyboard and back again. And that's just
20:08
the smallest little corner of
20:10
that. Well, and I'm
20:12
wearing my run has had here. It's about
20:14
administering, right? It's about controlling images and controller
20:16
driver sets and common hardware sets and all
20:19
of those. I am responsible for X, many
20:21
thousand desktops. And by golly, I know how
20:23
to do that in windows. And it's not
20:25
the same with a Mac. I
20:28
have to think that Microsoft strategy, um, you
20:30
know, pushing out that 23 H two as,
20:33
oh, just a monthly update for 22 H two. Just
20:36
kidding. You know, that kind of thing, um, is
20:38
a part of a broader plan just
20:40
to beat down IT and, and just
20:42
hope that some of them just give it right. What
20:45
are they doing effectively? But it's like you can have
20:47
any update you want because they're all the same. Exactly.
20:50
Which version of windows do you want to be on? Oh, 22
20:52
H two. Sure. You can have that.
20:54
Oh, you're going to have all the new features, but
20:56
you're on 22 H do you win? I'll keep that.
20:58
I'll keep that name there. We made that concession. Yeah,
21:01
exactly. It's, it's, but it's the same. It
21:03
is. I really, it is
21:05
beautiful. I mean, it's beautiful and sad,
21:08
but man, this is, this is Orwellian.
21:11
It's unbelievable. I know. I know.
21:14
That's why, like, you know, when you said something
21:16
about making sense of something earlier on, I'm like,
21:18
there's no sense to be made here. It is
21:20
just a coping strategy and just
21:22
some form of submission, you know, it's just like, it's
21:25
brilliant also. Yeah. Like, so I'm going to get you
21:27
to use this feature. I'm just going to tell you
21:29
whatever you need to hear. Yeah.
21:32
There's it's like, it's easy to be
21:34
cynical. Um, period. It's super easy to
21:36
be cynical, big tech, uh,
21:38
Microsoft in particular, but it's hard not to
21:40
look at their behaviors sometimes and think, you
21:43
know, antitrust regulators,
21:46
they have started looking at Microsoft too, but they're
21:48
really starting to pay attention to like Apple, Google,
21:50
you know, like, yeah, well, we're going to get
21:52
into that later today. They're like, yeah. And they're
21:55
like, you know, uh, when the
21:57
ISR on is looking the other direction, maybe we could
21:59
scurry. around in here and do what we
22:01
want, see what happens. Hey, you
22:03
know what? I'm more than ever, and you made this
22:05
very clear to me, the Brad Smith
22:08
strategy works. Yeah. Right?
22:10
Those folks are looking for talking points
22:13
to get them reelected and you don't
22:15
give them. It's like, we're happy to
22:17
comply. Let's go. Now it doesn't
22:19
mean whether they are or not, but they say the
22:21
thing that leaves no talking points or doesn't make the
22:23
news. We don't know what
22:25
happened with teams bundling in the EU
22:28
exactly, I'm sure it will come out
22:30
someday, but that's the one weird exception
22:32
where Microsoft offered
22:34
concessions, then they just did
22:37
it. They didn't wait for the
22:39
EU to agree. They said, okay, we're
22:41
just gonna unbundle it. We're gonna do
22:43
the right thing. You're
22:45
like, wow, this company's really changed. And then
22:47
the EU's like, nope. You're
22:49
like, what happened? Do you just have
22:51
to do something different? Can you give us any guidance? No, we
22:53
cannot. No. What you did was wrong.
22:55
Yeah, it was just wrong. We didn't like it. So
22:57
now the EU is acting like a chat. So I
23:00
don't, you can't say. And I think, again,
23:02
that's the, Windows
23:04
N was like that. Yes. In
23:09
your effort to protect customers, has now hurt
23:11
customers, what would you like us to do
23:13
next? In the late 90s and early 2000s,
23:16
because of what happened to Microsoft with the US
23:18
government, a lot
23:20
of me and other people like me and you,
23:22
I'm sure we all had to learn about antitrust.
23:24
We had to sort of understand what was happening.
23:27
Yeah, and so we're gonna apply this knowledge later in
23:29
the show, because Google
23:31
had this big event this week, this
23:35
past week that parallels what happened to Microsoft 20
23:37
plus years ago. And I
23:39
mean, like really, it's crazy.
23:41
Like shockingly, it's explicitly paralleling
23:43
it. And I think
23:45
we all have our own memories of that time.
23:48
I cannot tell you how strong the
23:50
belief is out there that
23:52
Microsoft won that case, you know, that they
23:54
settled and they got everything they wanted. but
23:58
that's not true. That is not true at all. But
24:00
I don't know that, you
24:03
know, basically Steve Balmer got his
24:05
job and made his job the
24:07
first year he had that job
24:10
when he successfully negotiated compliance officer,
24:12
basically. But he spent a year
24:14
making it. Yeah.
24:16
The victory from Microsoft was that the
24:18
breakup order was taken off. It was
24:21
rescinded. Yeah. So that was the bad
24:23
thing. But I think the important point to know from
24:25
back then is that the guilty
24:27
verdict and the findings of facts, those
24:30
were not taken away. Those are all legal
24:32
precedent. That's those are all, no, you were
24:34
these things, but you're now complying
24:36
in a way that allows us to not have
24:38
to enforce the remedy. You know, now that we're
24:41
25 years later, I'm
24:44
not going to believe, um, what
24:46
if Microsoft were broken up? Devart's
24:49
contention was that would have been a good
24:51
thing. How many hours you have? Care holders
24:53
and everybody else. Right. So the two, the
24:56
two, um, the two
24:58
big what ifs of that era to me
25:00
are that right? Like what would two Microsoft's
25:02
look like an app? Would it have been
25:05
bad? Yeah. I, you would have seen,
25:07
uh, you know, office, by
25:09
the time windows eight was coming out, office had
25:11
already created office for the iPad and Steve Balmer
25:13
said, no, we're not putting it out. Right. Um,
25:16
the office of that era, 15
25:18
years earlier, whatever that is, would have put
25:20
it on Linux, would have put it on
25:23
the web faster, would have, you know, done
25:25
a cross platform, uh, thing that the, you
25:27
know, that the integrated Microsoft of the early
25:29
2000s would never have done the, the windows
25:31
focus Microsoft, right? That's, that's probably the big
25:33
one. Would it have been successful
25:35
as no one, you know, who cares? So, I mean,
25:37
in some ways, right? But the, the bigger one to
25:40
me is, what would have
25:42
the 2000s and 2000s tens have been like if
25:44
Microsoft was like, it wasn't the nineties companies
25:47
like Google, Amazon, the
25:49
research, the resurgent Apple to some degree and
25:52
Facebook would never have happened. Um,
25:54
if Microsoft could have Netscape those guys,
25:56
which they would have our
25:59
world would look like. East Germany today, it would
26:01
be, you know, there's
26:03
no, it would be horrible. Oh no, no. It
26:05
would be just being bingish. It would be, you
26:08
know, we talked yesterday, if it's also the 27th
26:10
anniversary of Bill Gates looming
26:12
over Steve jobs announcing that they were
26:14
going to give Apple $150 million without
26:18
which Apple would not have survived. And
26:21
it's, I think likely, although
26:23
there's some debate of this, that the
26:25
reason Microsoft did that was because of
26:27
looming regulatory action. Absolutely. Yeah.
26:30
Very recently I heard, I read somewhere,
26:32
I, I put this aside. I'm just,
26:34
I'll be able to tell you where
26:36
it was eventually, but someone
26:39
had a story where supposedly Steve jobs went to
26:41
gates and said, Hey,
26:44
you know, we've all that lawsuit
26:47
stuff around look and feel and intellectual property,
26:49
you know, it, we
26:51
could make this go away, but just so you know, like we actually
26:53
have more. And if you guys don't
26:55
agree to help us out, like we're going to
26:58
launch another lawsuit against you. And supposedly that played
27:00
a role a role. I've never heard that before
27:02
in my life. So I, I, if
27:04
this just came up recently, I was like, I
27:06
don't know about that one, but, um,
27:08
yeah. And, and there were, you know,
27:10
we'll talk about Google later, but there
27:12
were parallels between that and Microsoft and
27:15
Apple. And today with Google and Mozilla,
27:17
right? That if Google
27:19
stopped paying Mozilla, that company would probably disappear
27:22
in about two seconds. You know, it's some
27:24
90 something percent of their, uh, uh,
27:27
operating, um, uh, revenue or
27:29
cashflow or whatever it is every year is
27:32
comes from Google,
27:34
right? They pay them, um,
27:36
some hundred, I think it's $500 something million a year or
27:38
whatever it is. So yeah, there's a
27:41
lot of parallels. I'm not sure we got a
27:43
financial interest there, but uh, but anyway,
27:45
uh, but with Steve Rich's point earlier, yes,
27:47
the, um, now
27:50
that Microsoft has kind of, uh,
27:54
just, just through natural business, um,
27:56
evolution, you know, as you're slowed down, it's
27:59
still, you know, Now it's a real business
28:01
doing great, right? The
28:03
focus is elsewhere. And I think Windows Server can come
28:05
out from the shadows again and say, yeah, remember us,
28:07
we're still here. And they'll never admit
28:09
to it, but I
28:11
bet that's a huge percentage of intelligent
28:14
cloud. A huge percentage, way more than
28:16
people would imagine, because they've incessantly marketed
28:18
the cloud, right? Just
28:20
like Windows is. I mean, we don't know the exact number,
28:22
but it's probably eight to 10 billion a quarter right
28:25
out of Windows client, right? Like
28:27
consistent forever. It's just like
28:30
an enduring cash machine,
28:32
but it's treated so horribly
28:34
by this company. And
28:36
I think it's because the upper level executives have
28:38
their eye on a different price these days, right?
28:40
Which now is AI. Okay.
28:45
Windows 7, blah, blah, blah, okay. So in
28:47
the past week, not much going on with the
28:49
Windows Insider program, there was a very small build
28:51
last week in the beta channel, an
28:54
equally small build to dev, but today they
28:57
put out something very interesting and it's hard not to
28:59
believe that this wasn't purposely timed because I just updated
29:02
this chapter in the book, but
29:04
they're issuing a major update to the Windows
29:06
Store app that will eventually,
29:09
it's not public, but it's in the Canary
29:11
and dev channels. Yeah. Kind
29:14
of a, I would call
29:16
it the third major redesign of the
29:18
library part of that app. And
29:21
they're separating out updates and downloads from there,
29:23
which honestly is probably overdue. That was kind
29:25
of a mishmash or it is today. If
29:27
you go look at it today, it's actually
29:30
very confusing and they've
29:33
changed it over time so that, in fact, I'm just gonna bring it
29:35
up so I can speak to
29:37
this more intelligently. But if you go into
29:39
library today in the Microsoft Store
29:41
app, what you'll
29:43
see is a, well, a library,
29:46
but the default view is, well,
29:49
things you might need to update at the top, but the
29:52
library view itself is actually apps that
29:54
are installed on your computer right now. I
29:57
sort of think of this, I'm not really
29:59
sure why. anyone would need that view, honestly.
30:01
The default view in the beginning was your
30:03
actual library, right? So if you go in
30:05
there and click the little sort button over
30:07
on the right and
30:10
you unclick show installed products only, what you'll see
30:12
is a list of all of the apps and
30:14
games that you've ever purchased or downloaded through
30:17
the Microsoft store, including by the way, on
30:19
Xbox and elsewhere, although it is even,
30:21
I think there's even, there might even be Windows Phone
30:23
stuff in here, although they might be finally filtering
30:26
that out by now, but some of that stuff you
30:28
can't actually do anything with. If
30:31
it's from a, you know, for a different platform.
30:33
And I use this to go in there and
30:35
find the handful of like expensive apps that I
30:37
purchased, like affinity photo or
30:39
Adobe Photoshop elements so that
30:41
it can reinstall them quickly, right? Because in this case, they
30:43
both being with the letter A and they're both right next
30:46
to each other. So it's kind of easy. I can just
30:48
go click click and kind of
30:50
install it. So they're going to separate these
30:52
two functions out so that updates and downloads
30:54
will be its own view. And then library
30:56
will be its own view, which frankly is
30:58
what it, I think it's what it was some
31:01
time ago, but it's what it should be. And it will be coming
31:04
back or at least changing in that
31:06
direction. And then some other stuff that's
31:08
not super interesting about, you know, special
31:10
deals and things will pop up from
31:12
here and there. But this is kind
31:14
of a, kind of
31:16
a, not structural, but it's a big, it's
31:19
a good update. Because like I said, I just updated
31:21
the chapter in the book and I, as
31:23
I wrote, you know, this is what this is,
31:25
it was like, man, this doesn't make any sense.
31:27
Like this is, this interface actually does not make
31:29
any sense. So they're going
31:31
to fix it. So that's good. And
31:34
based on the fact that it's in canary and dev, I
31:36
will probably have it in stable tomorrow
31:38
or Friday. Cause we don't
31:40
know when things come out. That's the point. That's
31:43
what it comes out after you talk about them on the
31:45
ship. Yeah. Yeah.
31:48
Oh, did the right update his book? Yeah. Okay. Ship
31:50
it. Yeah. Make sure you change
31:52
all the graphics while you're at it. Yeah, exactly. The
31:54
one thing that's the one thing I looked at was
31:56
if these people, and you don't want to
31:58
talk like that, it's getting bad, but. If
32:01
they updated that nav bar, so I literally
32:03
have to change every single screenshot in this
32:05
chapter, I'm gonna lose
32:08
my brain. And yeah, there's a
32:10
change. So fantastic. Cause
32:12
that's what they do. Awesome.
32:18
Well, let's see. So
32:20
when did we have this discussion? Sometime in the
32:22
past few weeks, we would have talked about this
32:25
notion. And this is before, you know, later
32:28
in the show we'll talk about Intel's financials
32:30
and all the bad stuff happening there. But
32:32
Microsoft shipped or Microsoft and
32:34
its partners shipped these co-pilot
32:36
plus PCs, right? Running Qualcomm's
32:38
Snapdragon X processor, you
32:41
know, very efficient, much better battery life, very
32:44
good, not perfect, but very good compatibility seems
32:47
to solve a problem, you know, but
32:49
you know, we have to be measured
32:51
here, right? Obviously we knew and know
32:53
now even more that AMD and Intel
32:55
are going to or have now in
32:57
one case shipped some of their next
32:59
gen chips. And part of the design of these
33:02
chips is to address some of
33:04
their shortcomings compared to ARM, right? Sure. But
33:07
you also get this kind of knee jerk reaction on
33:09
the other side where it's like, oh my God, oh
33:11
my God, Intel screwed, X86 is over, you
33:13
know, and it's like, guys, guys, guys. Easy,
33:16
easy there, Jack. Yeah, settle down. But
33:19
the thing is, it's not just, maybe
33:22
we should call it X64, but X86, X64, right,
33:25
the Intel architecture, that's
33:30
not necessarily the primary
33:32
target, although obviously
33:35
we want that to improve as well, right? I
33:38
don't, in the same sense that Windows Server is probably
33:40
never really going to go away. X64
33:43
is not really going to go away. And
33:45
honestly, in the Windows world, it's probably going
33:47
to be dominant for the foreseeable future. I
33:49
don't really see that changing, but we
33:51
had people writing stories like Intel's doomed,
33:54
they don't address this right now, that if they don't do
33:56
so, they're going to have to pull a Hail Mary here,
33:58
and it's like, guys. Intel's
34:00
running into a lot of problems right now, literally because they've
34:03
been pulling Hail Mary so the past three, four years in
34:05
a row, they've actually- You said you gotta stop throwing
34:07
the long ball. Yeah, for Intel, they've been actually
34:09
moving pretty aggressively. Like, you know, one might say
34:11
too aggressively. We'll get to that. But
34:14
we know, you know, into the AMD
34:17
mobile chips right now, the AMD desktop chips are gonna be out
34:19
in the middle of the month, so about a week from now,
34:22
Intel's on track to ship Lunar Lake, which
34:24
is the mobile version of their next gen
34:26
Corelter chips in early September,
34:28
IFA. This is a
34:30
great time to be alive, if you love hardware. But
34:32
the other target, and
34:34
honestly, kind of the explicit target
34:37
is Apple and the Mac, right? And the Apple
34:39
Silicon chips, Apple or
34:42
Microsoft made it very obvious
34:44
that the MacBook Air was a target, if
34:46
not the target at the CoPilot Plus launch,
34:48
right? I mean, they mentioned MacBook Air again,
34:51
again and again, you know? And
34:54
that's not a surprise. I mean, back in, I think it
34:56
was February or March, whenever I purchased
34:59
a MacBook Air M3 ahead
35:02
of getting any of these Snapdragon
35:04
PCs, not because I need to
35:06
reacquaint myself with the Mac or the
35:08
software, whatever, but just because I wanted
35:10
to experience over a long period of
35:12
time, like, well, what are the real
35:14
advantages to this thing? And
35:17
there are very real
35:19
advantages to it. Snapdragon
35:22
X has made
35:24
major inroads into battery life and what
35:26
I'll call efficiency. They did stand on
35:28
stuff. It's still
35:30
better on the Mac. And I don't
35:34
know this for a fact, but I suspect I could put
35:36
my MacBook Air over here on the bed, go away for
35:38
a month, come back, lift the lid and it would just
35:41
come on. It's that good. If
35:44
that sounds like an exaggeration, I hear you, but
35:47
almost not. But you're delighted with the Snapdragon,
35:49
the fact that you can open it each
35:51
day and it just comes off. Yeah, so
35:53
the thing, there is a time period at
35:55
which that stops happening, right? I don't know
35:57
what it is. It's probably a
35:59
week. had this happen to you now? It's
36:01
happened to me twice. And in
36:04
both cases, it was a machine
36:06
I had reviewed and put aside and of course I
36:08
have to move on to other things. And
36:11
I opened, the first time it happened, I was
36:13
like, huh, like what's happening? So it sat for
36:15
a week or two? It was at least a
36:17
week, yeah. Yeah. It was at least
36:19
a week. So I- Now you opened it and
36:21
it's not the battery's dead, it said? Nope,
36:23
the battery's fine. But yeah, look,
36:25
we all know where we have some vague idea
36:28
that there are power management states and windows and
36:30
that there are different configurations where it
36:32
goes into kind of a light sleep, if you will,
36:34
when you first close the lid, because you may just
36:36
come back and wanna- Yeah, and it
36:38
should be right there wherever it were. But if
36:40
you leave it sitting there, yeah. Do you think
36:43
this conserved battery, it just actually goes cold after
36:45
a few days? Yes,
36:48
because one of the other, this is minor,
36:50
but it's real. With
36:52
a Mac, when you close, at least the
36:54
MacBook Air, when you close the lid, the battery
36:56
doesn't actually go down over time, which feels impossible.
36:58
I mean, it must, right? Like it must go
37:00
down by micro amounts, but if
37:02
you had 100% battery, closed
37:05
the lid, went to bed, woke up the next
37:07
morning and lifted the lid, it's 100% battery. Like
37:09
this is, it's magical. I mean, maybe
37:11
it's lying, I don't know, but it's
37:13
amazing. At Snapdragon, we'll lose
37:15
one to 3% every night. So
37:18
it's possible that maybe after a
37:20
week, it's like, oh, you've had a period of
37:23
inactivity here, we can stop whatever
37:26
it's virtually, whatever the battery standby hibernation is,
37:28
it will do that. I don't
37:30
know. So that's something I kind of want to look
37:32
into, but it's hard to test because you need to,
37:35
you need to experience it over a long period of time and you
37:37
have to, you can't just do it once. I can't just say, hey,
37:39
I did it. I know what it is now. So I'm looking at
37:41
it, but it's gonna be a while. But
37:44
still better than x86, right? Sure.
37:47
At this point, anything's better than x86. Yeah,
37:49
well, I happen to be with you on
37:52
that, but you know. We
37:54
have at least one staff member who
37:56
has an i9. I think Benito has
37:58
an i9, the 13th generation that's. you
38:00
know, frying and uh, he's got the
38:02
bug. Yeah. I don't know. Well, he
38:05
says everything's okay so far, but wouldn't
38:07
you be nervous? Yep. I would be.
38:11
We're going to, let's get to, let's hold off
38:13
and do the AMD Intel story
38:16
in just a bit so I can take a break
38:18
when you're done with the Snapdragon. Yeah. I
38:20
just, well, I just wanted to finish up the, just
38:22
the Mac bit of it because I please, especially
38:24
I think in the windows world, people
38:27
either ignore it or don't know about it.
38:29
And I, I, I am exposed
38:31
to people who are like openly hostile to Apple.
38:33
You know, I say this
38:35
a lot. I really do prefer windows to Mac
38:37
OS. I think this is the, for
38:40
all of the problems we just described some of them
38:42
windows 11. I very much still
38:44
prefer windows
38:46
to the Mac, but the Mac has
38:49
a true full screen mode that windows
38:51
lacks. It has incredible gestures that work
38:53
all the time and are awesome. It,
38:57
I, I've had weird issues with like the
38:59
laptop, surface laptop, most cursor, which I explained
39:01
that survived a reset still a problem. But
39:03
the thing, I think the thing that puts
39:06
Apple over the top for consumers, for
39:08
individuals, right? Is not necessarily,
39:10
it's not like the Mac or Mac apps
39:13
or Mac, you know, um, OS
39:15
or whatever it's, uh, well,
39:18
the hardware design, which it's thinner, lighter, et cetera.
39:20
It's that, that machine is also unbearably
39:22
magicable magically like light and thin for
39:25
its sides. It's kind of crazy. Um,
39:29
it's the ecosystem, right? It's the broader
39:31
ecosystem. Like, um, I think that most
39:33
people using a Mac today are probably
39:35
there because they started using an iPhone
39:37
and they had such a really good
39:39
experience. They started halo affecting their way
39:41
through the, uh, ecosystem.
39:43
You know, that's the question is like, you
39:45
may like windows over Mac, but do you
39:48
like iPhone over Android? Yeah.
39:50
So on that one, I'm actually mixed. I, I
39:52
like both of them quite a bit. I, I've
39:54
been actually been using an iPhone this year a
39:56
lot. And I just did this this morning. I
39:58
picked up the pixel. I'm going
40:01
to update, you know, when the new pixels come out
40:03
and this thing is like thinner and lighter and
40:05
there are parts of the system
40:07
that I really, really appreciate that
40:10
they don't have on the Apple side.
40:12
There's things on the Apple side. I really appreciate like, um, uh, what
40:15
do you call it? Airplay, which lets me use
40:17
Sonos without having to deal with Sonos, which is
40:19
a huge advantage because Sonos is terrible. Oh, so
40:21
also no, it's really broke their app, but I've
40:24
been using that. I'm in
40:26
such pain. That is, it's
40:30
there. They're in, it's inexcusable. Like
40:32
it's, it's awful. Terrible company. There's
40:34
a company that should go down with Intel to
40:36
be honest, but okay. But the thing is like,
40:38
and this is the thing that will pain people
40:40
because Microsoft can never get there with this stuff.
40:43
There's the, it's the cross device
40:45
integration stuff that is so amazing
40:48
and so impossible to do seamlessly
40:51
on windows. It's
40:53
just, there's, we're never going to get there.
40:55
And so you as an individual have to
40:57
decide for yourself if it matters, you know,
41:00
the so-called ecosystem play. You mean? Yeah,
41:02
I can copy to the clipboard on an iPhone and
41:05
paste on the Mac. Continuity. So great. I
41:07
used this example before, but at a Qualcomm event in New
41:10
York back in, I think April, I wanted to get a
41:12
photo I'd taken on the phone into the Mac and I
41:14
was like, could I? And I went into
41:16
the camera app, copied it to the
41:18
clipboard, pasted it into my notes on the Mac.
41:21
And I was like, okay, this thing is magical. Now
41:23
obviously Microsoft's working on stuff like
41:25
this right there. We talked
41:28
about file system integration over wireless
41:30
last week and file explore, et cetera, et
41:32
cetera with the Android. But you
41:34
know, if you have an iPad, which lies guys do right there,
41:36
they're kind of buying in. This
41:38
thing becomes a second display for your Mac
41:40
instantaneously. If you want it to be a
41:42
wireless display with multi-touch and Apple pencil compatibility.
41:45
Yep. You can do that
41:47
too. Send and receive text messages back and forth between all your
41:49
devices. Don't have to have your phone with you at the time.
41:51
Kevin, hold on. You
41:53
don't need to show the Apple page when
41:55
we talk about Apple. It's not an app.
41:57
This is Windows Weekly. No,
42:00
probably, but I look, but. Let's not offend
42:02
anyone here. Look, okay, sorry.
42:05
This is my, it's 2024. I
42:08
have been writing about Microsoft and Windows for 30
42:11
years this year. And
42:13
if there's anything that I do that's maybe a little different than
42:15
most of the people that do what I do, it's
42:18
that I've spent a lot of those 30 years looking
42:20
at all of the alternatives over
42:22
time, again and again and again. And
42:25
I think you have to be, and that means, you know,
42:27
I've had, I've probably had 15
42:29
Macs since 2001. I
42:33
probably own more Apple hardware than most
42:35
Apple fans. I've had almost every iPad,
42:37
almost every iPhone, almost every
42:40
iPod, almost every, not
42:42
every Mac, but most, many Macs.
42:44
And I gotta
42:46
tell you, look,
42:48
you may not want it. You may not like them.
42:51
I get that. I respect it. But you
42:53
need to understand this is, there's a bridge we're never
42:55
gonna cross on this side of the fence because we
42:57
just don't have that ability. So what
42:59
we have are, I don't wanna call them half-assed,
43:01
it's unfair, but we're always gonna have
43:03
these things that aren't gonna work as well or reliable
43:05
that will do some of the things I just described,
43:07
right? You can, if you
43:09
have a high-end Samsung phone and you can get it to
43:11
work with phone link, you could have instant on
43:14
hotspot capabilities in Windows. But you know what?
43:17
If you have a Mac, you just get it. It's just there all
43:19
the time, that kind of thing. So, yeah. We're
43:22
trying. On Sequoia, the
43:25
new phone link with the iPhone is
43:28
basically doing what Microsoft's doing with phone
43:30
link, but it works and it's really
43:33
nice. That's the one thing. I've been
43:35
paying attention to this beta stuff they're
43:37
doing now. I have to say the
43:39
ability to have a remote screen
43:41
of your phone on your PC is actually not
43:44
very interesting today. And
43:46
there are, I don't, it's only if your phone
43:48
is distant. Like most people, I would guess, have
43:50
their phone nearby all the time. So
43:52
if you get a notification or whatever, you've got it
43:54
on your phone. But if Jason Snell, for
43:56
some reason, he keeps his phone in the house while he's
43:58
doing the shows. So he- He likes it because
44:01
he's got his phone on the screen of
44:03
his computer. Can I say something though? Cause
44:05
I, yeah, I really
44:08
think despite all that, it's
44:10
merely a matter of personal preference. I
44:12
think the difference between windows, Mac and
44:14
Linux is just pure. There are pros
44:16
and cons, but I'm just, no, no,
44:18
I, my, the inspiration for
44:21
this conversation was that, um,
44:23
you guys know, I, I, the Snapdragon stuff is
44:25
awesome. Like it's, they did it. Like I, and
44:27
this, I say this after the last decade of
44:29
like, seriously, are they ever going to get there?
44:32
And it is amazing, but there are
44:34
people now we're kind of doing this victory dance and
44:36
it's like, guys, it's not over. We have this,
44:38
there's way more to do. And,
44:40
um, you know, we'll see what happens going
44:43
forward. I, the Microsoft experience works like this.
44:45
We have phone link and
44:47
sometimes it works. And sometimes it doesn't. If
44:50
you have a high end Samsung phone or a
44:52
handful of other phones, you get additional features that
44:55
everyone else doesn't get. So there's this kind of
44:57
bifurcated experience that doesn't make any
44:59
sense. The remote phone display thing
45:02
we were just talking about, if you have
45:04
that high end Samsung ultra, whatever you
45:06
get that that's cool. And you
45:08
even get a feature I don't think is on the
45:10
Apple side, which is actually very cool if you like
45:12
this kind of thing, which is you can run individual
45:14
apps in their own windows off the phone on your,
45:16
on your computer. You can pin them. You
45:19
can have them be there like apps, like alongside
45:21
your other computers. It's not just a view of
45:23
the phone. Um, I don't think
45:25
Apple's doing that. They maybe they do that
45:27
in iOS 19 or whatever. I don't
45:30
care, but, um, and
45:32
it's, so you could check that off and say,
45:34
look, see, we're doing something Apple doesn't do. And
45:36
it's like, yeah, for now and only on certain
45:38
phones, you know, and that's, if
45:40
you accept those limitations or you just
45:43
don't care or you don't like Apple
45:45
anyway, so you're not using an iPhone. So who
45:48
cares? Yeah, you're fine. Right? So in the United
45:50
States, that's about, that's less than 50% of people
45:52
now, I guess, but in the world
45:54
it's probably 75, 80, I don't
45:56
know what the percent. I think it's because of the
45:58
price more than anything else. Right. Well,
46:00
it's price and this choice, right? You get
46:03
the choice of hardware, choices. These days, that's
46:05
true. But
46:08
I think that's why Android is dominant worldwide.
46:10
It's not the top tier phones. No, yeah,
46:12
you're right. It's the $50. Same reason that
46:14
Windows is dominant in the PC space. Yeah,
46:16
yeah, yeah, yeah. It's price. I
46:19
wonder if, you know, everything, but you have
46:22
that choice. I mean, you can have a
46:24
premium Android experience. Yeah. If
46:26
you like Samsung for some reason, or maybe
46:28
I guess maybe Pixel, you
46:30
might consider to be in there. Pixel's more than bare bones. But
46:34
honestly, Android
46:36
phones aren't as diverse as
46:39
you might think. I mean, they're all, right?
46:41
It's all basically the same. There's some hardware
46:43
difference. When you pay a thousand bucks or
46:45
more, you get a better camera and a
46:48
better screen. Bigger thing that happens with Android
46:50
phones is that the carriers hijack them. Right.
46:53
Yeah, well, you don't want to get it
46:55
from Verizon. Or any carrier. Every
46:57
carrier loads up. Right. I
46:59
understand. The carols between Android and Windows are so obvious. It's just
47:02
like, you know, back in the day, not
47:04
back in the day. Today, one of the big complaints about
47:06
PCs is the junk the PC makers put on there. You
47:09
know, Windows will have a set
47:11
of features that are built into the operating system
47:13
and HP, Lenovo, Dell, whatever, will put features in
47:16
themselves that duplicate stuff
47:18
that's already in Windows, but bypasses it
47:21
just like Samsung does, or
47:23
Verizon does, or whatever with Android.
47:26
And it's like, guys, seriously. They
47:30
have different competitive aims,
47:33
right, than the platform maker or
47:35
the customer, I guess, or whatever. Yeah.
47:37
Anyway, yeah, we have the choice. We definitely have the choice.
47:39
Choice is great. And I guess, from
47:42
Apple's point of view, at least when they're talking to the
47:44
Department of Justice, the choice is Apple or something else. There's
47:48
no choice within the Apple ecosystem. Yeah,
47:51
well, yeah, that's a tough one.
47:55
I mean, if you, the
47:57
Apple stuff is actually similar the
47:59
Microsoft antitrust stuff as well, in
48:02
the sense that they are artificially
48:04
restricting what competitors can do on
48:06
their platform. And even something
48:08
as simple as, you know,
48:11
there's a 15% fee for a music service that we don't
48:13
charge for our own music service. Like it's like, guys, like,
48:15
what are you, you know, like, come on, you
48:17
know, those types of things. Or messaging apps,
48:19
they can't do everything their messaging app can
48:21
do because Apple artificially restricts that, or the
48:24
Safari, you know, court, the bottom of every
48:26
browser, et cetera, et cetera. That stuff to
48:28
me is hard to defend, but
48:31
you know, the DOJ didn't get everything right.
48:33
I mean, they sort of suggested like Apple
48:36
should make Apple Watch compatible with Android. And
48:38
it's like, guys, that has nothing to do
48:40
with their iPhone monopoly. Like that
48:42
is, that's ridiculous. So
48:45
yeah, there's, it's, you know, it's not
48:47
100% straightforward,
48:50
but. It's so funny because I
48:53
am now saying things that
48:55
are pro-Windows, but people are still saying,
48:57
oh, Leo's so pro-Apple. You have, you
48:59
can't, you don't win. There's no,
49:02
there's no way for you because on the show, you'll
49:05
be like, oh, you know, you should see him
49:07
on the Mac show. He's just, so I'm like,
49:09
I'm just saying it's a personal preference. It's the
49:11
only difference, honestly, that and price. Price is, I'm
49:13
waiting for someone to be in the thing now
49:16
and say, well, if you like Apple so much,
49:18
why don't you start the Apple Super, you know?
49:20
Like, it's like, it's like, guys, that's not the
49:22
point. I'm just saying you
49:24
have to recognize here's the good news.
49:27
What the competition is doing. There's cross-pollination
49:29
now between all platforms. So
49:31
just as you said, no matter what feature
49:33
you want on the other platform, be
49:36
patient. Cause it'll, you know. It'll, it's really
49:38
a good idea. It'll propagate everywhere. Exactly. Yeah.
49:41
Yeah. Tribalism is not that smart. Like
49:43
we're kind of past that. Yeah. There's,
49:46
it's silly to be tribal. That really is my
49:48
real point. I wish we were tribalists. Past it,
49:50
but. Yeah. No, my real
49:52
point is it's, guys, it's just your personal preference.
49:54
It's not one's better than the
49:56
other. It's personal preference. I'd like you
49:59
to briefly imagine. I know this is horrifying,
50:01
so bear with me, like how horrible it would
50:03
be to be married to me. And
50:05
what I mean by that is, I get
50:07
up in the morning and I read a comment. I think
50:09
about that all the time. I know, you should. And
50:12
I had written the article that was
50:15
the thing we were just talking about, what that
50:17
was based on. And the reason I wrote it
50:19
is because there is serious tribalism, especially in my
50:21
little community. And I wanted to get,
50:23
you know, on top of this, I didn't want people to
50:25
get ahead of themselves. Yes, the Snapdragon
50:27
X is a huge step forward. We're not
50:29
done, you know, it's not over. And
50:33
I had some people in mind when I wrote
50:35
this, like I know, because these people, they are,
50:38
they're very tribal. And this morning
50:40
when I cracked open my laptop, by the way, the
50:42
screen came right on, love Snapdragon X. Some
50:47
of those people were in there saying like, I
50:49
laughed out loud when you said that the
50:51
Apple ecosystem was better than the Microsoft ecosystem.
50:53
We have much better apps and Windows. And
50:56
it's like, yeah, I was talking
50:58
about the broader ecosystem, meaning not just
51:01
the computer, and there is
51:03
nothing on the Microsoft side. We
51:05
just have these half-assed integrations we try
51:07
to do in phone, link, and wherever else. Like we
51:09
just have the cobbled together thing that
51:11
we've always had in Windows. And that's, that
51:14
was kind of my point. So
51:17
anyway, yes. So you
51:19
can stop thinking about that little relationship,
51:21
but, sorry. All
51:26
right, let's take a break. Cause we do want
51:28
to hammer on Intel. I mean, let's- Oh, I'm
51:30
sorry. I'm sorry. What I meant was
51:32
I, this morning as I'm reading this, my wife is
51:34
sitting next to me trying to read the news and
51:37
I'm over on my laptop. Yeah. Because
51:41
people are not paying attention. Anyway, sorry.
51:47
I try to avoid the news early in the morning.
51:49
I don't want to be angry until noon. It
51:52
is now new. I have more energy in the morning. I want to get it out of
51:54
the way. Ah, I get it. Like
51:56
in the afternoon, I just be like, eh. I,
51:59
you know, That's funny. Uh, I
52:02
wake up cheerful. My
52:04
wife is the other way. So it would be like being married to
52:06
you, I guess. Yeah. I,
52:10
I wake up like Cinderella, you
52:12
know, or, uh, sleep, you know, going, Oh, it's
52:14
talking to the birds. Yeah.
52:18
Anyway, I don't, you know, it's
52:20
like, how did you sleep? It's like, I made
52:22
some mistakes. I didn't do it. You know, I,
52:24
um, I'm
52:27
going to work on it tonight. I didn't go
52:29
well at all. I don't have high hopes. I
52:32
love it. All right. Let's, let's
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take a little time out for a sponsor and
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I get back to more with grumpy Paul and,
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uh, and rich, you're kind of a, I feel
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the way, I, I do have
52:59
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53:02
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56:03
Let's get to the chips. We
56:06
talked about Snapdragon, but
56:09
it is, you know, it's a three-headed race
56:11
right now. You got Snapdragon, you got Intel,
56:13
and you got AMD, right? Am I right?
56:16
Yeah, I mean, really what we have is Intel, and then I
56:18
guess there are these other companies. Sometimes. And
56:20
it's, well, it's weird to me that AMD has
56:22
not gotten more traction, although I think I touched
56:24
on this last week or the week before. You
56:26
know, Intel spends a lot of
56:28
money to keep their position in the market,
56:31
right? So I can,
56:33
I'm on the kind of other end of the
56:35
funnel. I get these opportunities to review laptops, and
56:38
it's more than nine out of 10 are running Intel
56:40
chips. You know, that's been like that for a long
56:42
time. But
56:44
my experience with AMD has always
56:46
been very positive. So I have
56:49
high hopes, and we've seen the
56:51
first reviews of the mobile version of
56:53
this new generation of processor from AMD,
56:55
and it looks like that's going great.
56:58
Intel has started talking about lunar lake a little bit
57:00
more, and we're going to learn a lot more in
57:02
September. So
57:04
everything's going great, except it's
57:06
not. So this
57:08
has been a big week or 10 days of
57:11
earnings. We're going to talk a little bit more
57:13
about earnings later, but we'll do Intel's now because
57:15
unfortunately, Intel has been suffering,
57:17
I would say for a couple of years
57:19
now with, you
57:22
know, a PC market that's been down and
57:24
a very slow and expensive transition
57:26
to this future that their CEO
57:29
envisions where they
57:31
kind of seize on and leverage
57:33
their historic strength in manufacturing, take
57:36
advantage of some subsidies that we're getting from the
57:38
US government because it's a national security concern, and
57:42
manufacture chips at home here in the
57:44
United States, right, so, and elsewhere. Not
57:46
that they've ever stopped manufacturing chips in
57:48
the US, because- Well, but that volume
57:51
and for others, right? The idea here,
57:53
yes. Specifically the high, the, you
57:55
know, extreme ultraviolet stuff. Yeah,
57:59
it's complicated. and expensive
58:01
and it's going slow. So
58:03
I, unfortunately, you know, from
58:05
my perspective, because I have to write this up every quarter,
58:08
I feel like we're in an endless
58:10
loop of underperforming. It's going
58:12
to get better. We're so close. We're
58:14
hitting this milestone soon. We're doing that. And
58:17
it's like, have we actually done anything here?
58:20
Isn't Intel still using 14 nanometer chips or is
58:22
that just my imagination? I mean, it feels like-
58:24
It feels like- They are, but they also make
58:26
other ones too. Yeah. So
58:31
oddly enough, I mean, this last quarter, the
58:33
part of Intel that makes PC chips experienced
58:36
a 9% gain on revenue, $7.4 billion. The
58:43
rest of the company, not as good, but it's
58:47
just, you know, it's just
58:49
not going well. So they
58:51
announced as part of their earnings that they're going to
58:53
lay off approximately 15% of the workforce,
58:55
which is approximately 15,000 people. They're
58:58
going to restructure again. They're going to reduce
59:00
the number of products that they produce. They're
59:02
going to stop all non-essential work. They're
59:05
going to reduce capital expenditures, which
59:08
is the term we
59:10
use to describe, I
59:13
call it building out AI infrastructure at Microsoft,
59:15
but this is the building for the future
59:17
bit, you know, a CapEx,
59:19
and their goal is to reduce costs
59:22
by $10 billion. Only,
59:24
and which is, I mean, the
59:26
issue here is when you're building fabs, fabs take
59:28
10 years to build, right? And
59:30
you're supposed to report quarterly on this? Like
59:33
that's just tough business. The
59:36
problem is you get this confluence of, in
59:38
my mind, three things, right? It's
59:41
just, they are
59:43
struggling to make the newer chips and are
59:45
having problems around all of that. The
59:48
Snapdragon came out with a big old
59:50
splash. Like everybody's real happy about that.
59:53
And then problems with the 13th
59:55
gen. Yeah,
59:58
that one's interesting to me because- because there's
1:00:01
a lot of evidence to suggest that the
1:00:03
problems they're having with these chips aren't
1:00:06
necessarily any worse than problems they've had
1:00:08
with other chips over time. But
1:00:11
I do think, I think the
1:00:13
public has gotten onto a pile on mentality.
1:00:15
Yeah, exactly. That, you know, look at Boeing,
1:00:18
like a wheel comes off a 777, thanks
1:00:20
Boeing, like that,
1:00:22
they're not the ones doing the maintenance on that
1:00:24
plane, like. Well, yeah, so obviously
1:00:27
when a company gets big enough, they are, you
1:00:30
know, there's inertia that takes over, they're just a
1:00:32
superpower, they're doing great. You also become the butt
1:00:34
of jokes, you know, it's kind of like the,
1:00:36
you know, the little indie band
1:00:38
you loved is now like on MTV all
1:00:40
the time and they're selling out tours, you're like, oh, I
1:00:43
used to love those guys, they sold out, you know, they suck
1:00:45
now. So that's, maybe
1:00:47
that's just human nature, it's kind of hard to
1:00:49
say. Yeah, I think you're right, but certainly it's
1:00:51
American cultural nature. There you go. Build
1:00:54
up the little guy until he becomes a big
1:00:56
guy, then tear him down. Yeah,
1:00:58
you're probably right. Yeah. No,
1:01:01
you're probably right. But it's just, yeah, I
1:01:03
empathize with Boeing, although there's a bunch of
1:01:05
things they really have done wrong. Yeah.
1:01:08
You know, the MCAS thing is not
1:01:10
funny. Starliner's not funny, but at the
1:01:12
plug door, not funny. But
1:01:15
the, you know, the other stuff, come on. And
1:01:17
Intel, yeah, you're right. But this is, but bad news
1:01:20
feeds on itself. This is totally. And I think it's
1:01:22
just like, we're in a time of echo
1:01:24
chambers and you get the wrong
1:01:26
echo going and you get
1:01:28
a lot of noise. That's a lot of noise. Yep.
1:01:32
So yes. And tied to
1:01:34
this, very, you know, American, but
1:01:36
capitalism, this need to grow and
1:01:38
grow and grow. You know,
1:01:40
that need is how we get things like Snickers cereal, you
1:01:42
know, breakfast cereal. It's like, wait, what are we doing? Now
1:01:44
we're not a good idea. We have to always have- Work
1:01:47
our way down the bad ideas. Yeah. So
1:01:49
here's the thing. So
1:01:51
here's some, here's some, some, some
1:01:54
good and bad, I guess, some data in the,
1:01:56
in the wake of this. Wall
1:01:58
Street, which is- akin to
1:02:01
black magic, you know, it's
1:02:03
a dance, you know, and Intel
1:02:06
spiraling the drain from a sort of PR
1:02:08
perspective, this stuff kind
1:02:10
of piles on. So the day after they announced
1:02:12
their earnings, their stock price went down
1:02:14
almost 30% in 24 hours. Its
1:02:18
biggest loss in the market
1:02:20
since 1982, and
1:02:23
its second biggest loss of all time since it was
1:02:25
a publicly traded company, which happened, started happening in 1980.
1:02:29
Its market cap went down by $30 billion. It
1:02:32
is under $100 billion for the first time since 2009, and
1:02:38
it is worth a lot less than
1:02:40
any of its competitors, most of which are
1:02:42
actually smaller companies, if you will. Nvidia
1:02:45
is worth 2.69 trillion, or
1:02:48
it was the day I wrote the sort of, TMSC 720 billion,
1:02:50
over seven times Intel, AMD,
1:02:55
tiny company, by the way,
1:02:57
comparatively, $233 billion, and
1:03:00
Qualcomm, $183 billion. All of
1:03:02
these companies, worth more than Intel. So
1:03:05
there was an analyst at what
1:03:08
I would call like an industrial
1:03:11
investment firm, you know, someone who represents lots
1:03:14
of really rich clients, and wrote a
1:03:17
letter to explain what's happening with Intel,
1:03:19
and I thought this was very measured. He
1:03:22
said, look, if this wasn't Intel, we
1:03:24
would be having a conversation now where this is
1:03:26
a going concern, but he says,
1:03:29
we gotta look at this more pragmatically. This
1:03:31
is the company that is getting subsidies from
1:03:34
the US government, contributions from partners. Oh, because
1:03:36
of the chips sack, yeah. And if you
1:03:38
look at what they
1:03:40
expect, what they're
1:03:42
doing, they will actually
1:03:45
add $40 billion of
1:03:47
cash to their balance sheet through
1:03:50
the end of next year. So, yes,
1:03:54
layoffs are bad, you know, bad
1:03:56
news, things are going slow, yep, but
1:03:58
they're doing big work. There's a
1:04:00
national security issue at stake here. I
1:04:04
coined the phrase, maybe Intel is too
1:04:06
strategic to fail. But
1:04:09
honestly, they're kind of too big to fail and
1:04:11
they're generating too much money to fail. And so
1:04:13
yes, at this moment in time, this looks horrible.
1:04:16
Yeah, well the layoffs mean they're gonna generate more money for
1:04:19
a while. Yeah, yeah. Yeah, as
1:04:21
long as they're not critical people, right? Well,
1:04:23
that was one of the little, one
1:04:25
of the things no one talks about, they expect almost
1:04:28
all of those layoffs to come in the form of
1:04:31
people who volunteer to retire early or
1:04:33
maybe it's time, you know, whatever. So
1:04:35
we'll see. This happens with big companies.
1:04:37
You get a lot of extra people.
1:04:41
I don't know how to say this in a kind
1:04:43
way. Well, everyone did it. Microsoft, Apple
1:04:45
even, although I don't think they- Apple
1:04:47
had to too and everybody's- Google, Apple
1:04:49
would never do it. Google, all the
1:04:51
big tech companies overhired. When you did,
1:04:54
well not only overhired, but then also
1:04:56
found that when we
1:04:58
have routine layoffs, conversations about
1:05:00
unions and all of that stuff- Yes,
1:05:02
that's right. That's right.
1:05:05
It's become a, I feel like it's become
1:05:07
an employee management strategy, which I find offensive.
1:05:10
I do too. I do too. It does
1:05:12
seem to be going on. I don't
1:05:14
know what other explanation there is at this point. Corporations
1:05:17
can be- It's very evil sometimes. From
1:05:19
a news cycle perspective, it's hard not
1:05:21
to look at Intel and see something
1:05:23
cratering here, but there's-
1:05:26
We'll see. Hey, how much of this do you
1:05:28
think, especially this 13 and
1:05:30
14th generation chip problem, is
1:05:32
YouTube generated? Yeah, this is
1:05:35
the thing. Right? So in other words- A
1:05:37
lot of this comes from YouTubers. This is not, this
1:05:39
is not a fact. I don't mean
1:05:41
to say I've done some investigation and
1:05:44
have found, but my belief, which
1:05:46
God, you should take that
1:05:48
to mean nothing, is that I
1:05:50
don't know that this is any more serious
1:05:52
than any other chip problems they've had over
1:05:54
the past two decades. I really don't. You'd
1:05:56
have to go back to the pendulum- This
1:05:58
could be a good congressional hearing. and say
1:06:00
like, what are the failure rates of 11th
1:06:02
gen and 12 compared to 13th gen?
1:06:04
There are sites and actually YouTube channels too, that are
1:06:06
starting to point out that like, if you look at
1:06:09
failure rates for chips, AMD chips
1:06:11
are actually way worse than these exact chips.
1:06:16
So it's hard to say, but, and by the
1:06:18
way, here's another. So Intel over the course of
1:06:20
just less than a week says, all right, look,
1:06:22
well, first of all, they acknowledged the problem publicly,
1:06:25
which they don't do a lot that
1:06:27
it has happened, but not a lot.
1:06:30
And they said, look, we're gonna do the right
1:06:32
thing for our customers. So if you bought a
1:06:35
core processor, gen 13 and 14 with a PC,
1:06:39
we're just extending the warranty
1:06:41
by two years. Don't worry about it. And if
1:06:44
you bought it yourself off the shelf, which is
1:06:46
not a huge market, you know, with individuals. Yep,
1:06:48
no, but people do it. Just
1:06:51
contact support. And the story at the time was
1:06:53
if you contact support, obviously
1:06:55
we're gonna do the right thing for you. We're not gonna leave
1:06:57
customers stranded. They'll just ship you another chip. But
1:07:00
YouTube guys, like, say like, oh, I heard from
1:07:02
a reader who called and they told me to
1:07:04
go screw themselves. They're not gonna do anything. So
1:07:06
a couple of days later, Intel's like, all right,
1:07:08
look, we're gonna extend the warranty for everybody.
1:07:11
You bought it, it doesn't matter how you got it. If you have
1:07:13
one, two years. So they're gonna provide more
1:07:15
details on that soon. And this is just
1:07:17
like everything else we just talked about. You can look
1:07:19
at this very negatively. Look, it's a part
1:07:21
of a cycle of negativity and bad news
1:07:23
around Intel. Yep, it absolutely is. But
1:07:26
here is Intel doing the right thing
1:07:28
for customers. And
1:07:31
we should at least acknowledge that too. Yeah, sure. Right,
1:07:34
I mean, it's part of the story. So whether
1:07:37
this is overblown or not, in
1:07:39
some ways doesn't matter. The question is does GirlSlinger keep
1:07:41
his job? Like, that's not gonna be a fun board
1:07:44
meeting. And I'm not gonna blame
1:07:46
him because I think we're also
1:07:48
in a market time where there is this overreact.
1:07:51
But, and you know, there's a bunch
1:07:53
of forces there. Not just the Echo Chamber that is YouTube,
1:07:56
but there are certain state actors
1:07:58
that like to emphasize anything. failure of
1:08:00
any entity in the United States. That's
1:08:02
right. I don't know,
1:08:04
I don't remember, like when
1:08:07
did he become CEO? Like how long ago was this?
1:08:09
Five years ago, not even something like that. Obviously
1:08:13
you're looking at a broken company. This is a
1:08:15
company that made the wrong bets for too long.
1:08:18
He said everything right to fix it in my
1:08:20
opinion. The problem for him
1:08:22
is that from a public perspective, from an
1:08:25
investor perspective, you've got the same face, the
1:08:27
same guy saying the same thing every
1:08:29
quarter, and it's not getting better. I
1:08:32
don't think it's his fault. He came back to Intel in
1:08:35
2021 to become CEO. Okay,
1:08:37
so it hasn't been that long. Pretty recent.
1:08:39
Steven Elop of
1:08:42
Intel. I think that's unfair.
1:08:44
And I think a lot of this- No, I actually
1:08:46
think Steven Olaf actually did- Did a good job. Oh,
1:08:48
okay. Yeah. I know, I said
1:08:50
that. It was the Nokia head who came along with
1:08:52
that. I know very few people
1:08:54
think that's true, but I think, I
1:08:56
really do think he's done everything. I
1:08:58
think that company was going right down the drain. No, I think that
1:09:01
board meeting would be scary. Well,
1:09:04
I think- There's no- His conversation
1:09:06
should be like, look, this is a five-year plan
1:09:08
or whatever it is. You have to give me that
1:09:10
time. You have to give me the five years or it's on you. We don't get there. And
1:09:13
I think we have to be honest with ourselves, whether you're on
1:09:15
the border or an investor or whatever, that it's
1:09:18
not him. No. Like, I'm not saying
1:09:20
he's doing, that there isn't some
1:09:22
scenario or some other version of some other leadership
1:09:24
and some other plan might have done something better,
1:09:26
but it's possible this
1:09:28
was not fixable. I think, I still like him.
1:09:30
I know that he's so- I do too. Here's
1:09:33
the problem. A lot of this is perception.
1:09:35
It starts with YouTubers. It then becomes a
1:09:37
stock market issue. That's when the
1:09:39
stock tanks. By the way, when we're allowing-
1:09:41
It's allowing- Influencers to literally influence
1:09:43
the stock price of it. Influence? Don't
1:09:46
let influence. No, I mean, let's, can we draw the line with
1:09:48
that, please? That's ridiculous. Anyway,
1:09:50
what's interesting about him, he's the first leader
1:09:53
at Intel, who's actually a chip engineer, a
1:09:55
chip designer. He designed a
1:09:57
3D6. He used to be a CTO of Intel,
1:09:59
right? Wasn't he previously a CTO? He, so, uh,
1:10:01
so he started Intel at the age of 18
1:10:05
as a QC engineer. He
1:10:07
was the lead architect on the four
1:10:09
86, uh, the
1:10:11
youngest VP in Intel's history at 32,
1:10:13
he was mentored by, and I'm looking
1:10:16
at his, uh, Wikipedia, Andy Grove. He
1:10:18
was CTO in 2001. Wifi
1:10:21
under him, wifi, USB, Intel
1:10:23
core, Intel Xeon 14 different
1:10:27
chip generations. I will.
1:10:29
So it's because you mentioned wifi, uh, you've
1:10:31
reminded me that I, you know, I'm reading
1:10:34
what I can about what's happening with, um,
1:10:36
lunar lake, like this next gen chip center
1:10:38
working at. And one of
1:10:40
the things that Intel is requiring for
1:10:43
this is something I have been begging for
1:10:45
for years and years and years, which is
1:10:47
that you cannot buy one of these things
1:10:50
without having a USB C port
1:10:53
on both sides of the laptop.
1:10:56
You have to have at least one of them. There
1:10:58
will be three. One
1:11:00
of them has to be on the other side. My
1:11:02
Apple laptop has two on one side and none on
1:11:05
the other. I
1:11:07
have been begging for this for a while. You'll get
1:11:09
a laptop that does do this. I have two now
1:11:11
that are like that, but this is, you know, Intel,
1:11:14
you know, everyone makes all, they have like all these
1:11:16
stupid stickers and they have specs like Evo and like,
1:11:18
what does it even mean? It's marketing nonsense. And like
1:11:20
the thing that maybe a lot of people don't understand
1:11:23
is that's part of that. They're
1:11:25
like, if you want this sticker thing, if you want
1:11:28
the chip, you're going to do this. So
1:11:30
it's Thunderbolt four, wifi seven, you know,
1:11:32
the latest Bluetooth and USB C ports
1:11:34
where they belong and the
1:11:36
fast USB C ports, not some baloney
1:11:39
USB to whatever nonsense that we
1:11:41
still see on PCs these days. Right. So then
1:11:43
they don't do everything wrong. No.
1:11:46
And I, if I were on the board
1:11:48
and it's no, I would say, Pat, you
1:11:50
know, you're, you're, you're, you're bailing out a
1:11:52
leaking ship. And this is, you
1:11:55
know, keep going. Cause you got the right, I
1:11:57
think he's got the right strategy, the dual strategy.
1:11:59
He walked up to the deck of the Titanic
1:12:01
with his little tea cup and it's like, Hey,
1:12:03
what's going on guys? You know, he, you know,
1:12:05
he, he flew in. Those days you were in
1:12:08
the wrong place. Yeah. Yeah. No, I agree. And
1:12:10
I, you know, you're going to give him more than three years. You may
1:12:12
not give him more than five years, but you're going to give him more
1:12:14
than three years. I think. No, let's see if
1:12:16
you can. Yeah. See if you can turn it around. But
1:12:18
it's, the situation is serious, but I
1:12:20
do think it's interesting to see that stock
1:12:24
behaviors, criticism is becoming
1:12:26
more radical, right?
1:12:28
That there, it's not, it's not just Intel.
1:12:30
It's also Boeing. Like there's, and there's other
1:12:33
companies where, Oh yeah. Well Boeing, wait a
1:12:35
minute. Boeing deserves it.
1:12:38
What's going on? Boeing deserves some
1:12:40
of it. Just like Intel
1:12:42
deserves some of it. I
1:12:44
think Boeing is a much worse story.
1:12:46
I don't disagree. Right. You
1:12:48
know, I think there should be people in
1:12:50
prison for what happened with MCAS. I agree.
1:12:52
I agree. You know, a
1:12:54
chip fries doesn't necessarily kill several
1:12:56
hundred people. Right. Yeah. Right. But
1:12:59
you know, when, when, when
1:13:01
United has failed to do sufficient maintenance on a 777, so
1:13:04
the wheel falls off and lands in a parking lot.
1:13:06
Yeah. That's not Boeing. Here's,
1:13:09
here's a, here's one a little closer to home. So
1:13:12
we had that crowd strike outage. Whole
1:13:14
world freaks out, takes days to come back. There
1:13:17
was one company that kind of stuck out there, right?
1:13:19
Delta out there, which
1:13:21
was Delta. Delta was down for several days after
1:13:24
everyone else had come back. And
1:13:26
I made a point of the back and the
1:13:29
blue. Yeah. That's what I mean. So I said early on, I'm
1:13:31
like, I said, hold on a second. Let me get this straight.
1:13:34
Every United's back. American's
1:13:36
back. Everyone's back, but you're not back and
1:13:38
you're, and then they, he came out and
1:13:40
he said that you see you have this company
1:13:42
said, you never hear anything about Apple having an
1:13:44
outage. Yeah. Because iPads don't
1:13:47
run the world's infrastructure. You're like seriously.
1:13:49
They, they, they, and apparently our strike
1:13:51
came out a $500 million lawsuit. Right.
1:13:55
Like, good luck with that. I, if I was
1:13:57
Microsoft, I would sue them for defamation right now.
1:14:00
I, CrowdStrike came out publicly and said,
1:14:02
I just want to be clear. We want
1:14:04
to be clear. We reached out
1:14:07
to Delta several times to
1:14:09
help them get over this. They never
1:14:11
even responded to us. They never even,
1:14:13
then the other day Microsoft issued a
1:14:15
statement that said the same thing. We
1:14:18
have been reaching out to Delta since the
1:14:20
beginning of this to help get them online.
1:14:23
They have ignored our help. So
1:14:26
yeah, that was Delta. It was not,
1:14:28
it was not Microsoft. Yeah.
1:14:32
So any, look, it's bad enough. I mean,
1:14:35
I, CrowdStrike, a
1:14:37
lot of people, a lot of knee jerk reactions,
1:14:39
whatever, I get it. But the,
1:14:42
again, as with Intel, you have to give them
1:14:44
a little credit for one thing. God,
1:14:47
they've been transparent. God, they've responded
1:14:49
quickly. They took credit for this,
1:14:51
not the right term, but they
1:14:53
took responsibility for it immediately. Right.
1:14:56
They didn't wait for the Senate to
1:14:58
have an investigation and figure out what, like
1:15:00
they, they admitted to it. They explained what
1:15:02
happened. They provided two, at least two that
1:15:04
I can think of major updates, including one
1:15:06
just the other day or even in the
1:15:08
past 24 hours explaining
1:15:10
exactly when what went down. They
1:15:13
work with Microsoft. They've documented what
1:15:15
happened. They've talked about fixing the
1:15:17
industry because we shouldn't let this
1:15:19
kind of thing happen. Yada, yada,
1:15:21
yada. And Delta's over there. Oh,
1:15:23
you never heard what Apple going down. Yeah.
1:15:25
By the way, you do your baby crushes working
1:15:27
fine. That's a go down. What
1:15:30
are you talking about? I
1:15:33
don't have infrastructure that you're running on
1:15:35
with anyway. I, that's insane. That's
1:15:37
like saying, you know, you don't hear about Charmin
1:15:39
going down. Like, yeah, they make
1:15:41
toilet paper. What, why would you talk about?
1:15:43
Actually, they do go down, but it's a
1:15:46
different, too. That's a different, that's a different
1:15:48
problem. Anyway.
1:15:51
Anyway. Crazy. Anywho, welcome
1:15:54
to our industry. Nice. Yeah. And
1:15:57
honestly, I think a lot of the money that left Intel.
1:16:00
in the market went to Nvidia. And
1:16:02
it's a little bit chasing AI and
1:16:05
chasing the latest fad. But even I know
1:16:07
that there's the wisdom of crowds and all
1:16:09
that, but I'm not sure. But I'm not
1:16:12
sure. First little bit of backlash, you know?
1:16:15
Their next gen is not
1:16:17
working good. It's the problems. They're holding up.
1:16:19
They're not gonna ship it. Now people are
1:16:21
gonna start beating on them, because that's the way
1:16:23
we are. We're awful. I hope we don't
1:16:25
pile on, honestly, because I don't think it's
1:16:27
attractive. And I think really,
1:16:29
to some degree, that kind of short-term
1:16:32
mentality of the stock market that companies respond
1:16:34
to, it's a source of a lot of
1:16:36
problems. It's a huge problem because you're responding
1:16:38
in sometimes to things that are not true
1:16:40
or are coming from sources you should not
1:16:42
trust. It's ephemeral. Yeah, it's crazy.
1:16:45
Yeah. Our entire
1:16:47
planet is built on this
1:16:49
shaky foundation of finances. It's
1:16:51
crazy. Yeah, and the
1:16:53
internet has caused it
1:16:55
to vibrate even more severely than it used to. That's
1:16:58
true. But can I- This would have
1:17:00
been news stories, not YouTuber. Can I tell you something
1:17:02
from the senior edge of
1:17:04
life? Yes.
1:17:07
You start to realize as you get older, it's
1:17:10
all a house of cards. It's- Yeah.
1:17:13
But it's the only house we got. It's the
1:17:15
only house we got. And
1:17:17
any- I hesitate to consider the title of
1:17:19
the book. You're eventually gonna write something like,
1:17:22
"'Everything Sucks, Nothing Works." It
1:17:25
was all a lie. It was all
1:17:27
a lie. It was all
1:17:29
a lie, yeah. But it's life. We keep going down this
1:17:31
path. I'm gonna open the whiskey early, right? It's
1:17:34
an illusion that it's all, oh yeah, this is
1:17:36
a well-run company and everything's gonna be, but it's
1:17:38
all an illusion. It's all just people. It's
1:17:41
people all the way down. And you know what? We're
1:17:43
flawed and we do the best we can. And that's-
1:17:45
Yeah, but at least we're making AI that's not flawed
1:17:48
like we- Oh, wait. Oh, dear. Oh,
1:17:51
dear. It's been a long
1:17:53
year. After investing billions to light up
1:17:55
our network, T-Mobile is America's largest 5G
1:17:57
network. Plus, right now, you can- Yeah,
1:22:00
so the one I got, black was my only option,
1:22:02
but the one I really wanted was that kind of, I don't know
1:22:04
the name of it, but it's a blue color. It's awesome.
1:22:07
And there's also a saved color,
1:22:10
not available for business. So it's black.
1:22:12
I don't mean that they're another silver
1:22:14
anything, you know? Yeah, so, you know,
1:22:16
it's whatever it's business, I guess, but
1:22:18
very specific configurations. They
1:22:20
still have core, sorry,
1:22:22
Snapdragon X
1:22:25
plus as an option on both
1:22:27
devices on the low
1:22:29
end SKUs, Snapdragon X, they're
1:22:31
not saying which one it is. I'm sure it's the
1:22:33
same one. Everyone ships and same one they ship before,
1:22:35
but whatever, prices don't seem to be any better
1:22:38
or worse or whatever than the consumer versions, except that if
1:22:40
you want 5G, you got to pay for it. It's several
1:22:43
hundred dollars extra. Yeah,
1:22:45
it's expensive. Plus
1:22:47
you have to buy one of the higher ends. You know, they
1:22:50
kind of spec it out so it's not
1:22:53
great, but it's happening. And
1:22:55
so those things are, I think they're arriving
1:22:57
in when? September, probably September 11th, which
1:23:00
is maybe not the best day to launch a product, but fine.
1:23:03
And yeah, so you could spend as little as
1:23:05
1099 for
1:23:07
the laptop and for pro. And
1:23:10
then, you know, the sky's the
1:23:13
limit. I mean, I think the 15 inch
1:23:15
decked out 32 gigs of RAM to buy
1:23:17
the storage 20 to write bucks. So, and
1:23:19
it's even more on the pro
1:23:21
side because you have all the keyboard choices with or
1:23:23
without pen, the flex version, et cetera, et cetera. So
1:23:26
you could spend three grand probably or more, I'm sure
1:23:28
on a surface pro if you wanted to. I don't
1:23:31
recommend that, but. Yeah, only on
1:23:33
the surface laptop in, this is in the
1:23:35
Canada site, in black I can get a
1:23:37
64 gig version. That's right. And
1:23:40
that's got to be 26, I bet it's 2699 in the United States. If
1:23:43
I'm not mistaken. So 36, with the 15 inch, 3,600 bucks Canadian. It's,
1:23:48
listen, I'll tell you this, you open at Lidman,
1:23:50
it comes on every single time. Tell you this,
1:23:52
I spent more than that on the studio too.
1:23:56
But I got a RTX 4060 in my studio. I
1:24:00
can tell because it keeps burning my hand.
1:24:04
Well, I mean, it's probably good for
1:24:07
Visual Studio. Yeah,
1:24:12
I know it's fine. It's a lot of horsepower, but
1:24:14
it all depends on what's using the GPU, right? It
1:24:17
gets hot. Yeah, I mean, if you're doing video. It gets the GPU. Yep.
1:24:20
It's Intel. It's warp the case on my
1:24:22
Pixel. That's how hot. Yeah, yeah. When you
1:24:24
said that the first time, I thought you
1:24:26
might warp the case on your computer.
1:24:29
Thank God that wasn't the case, but you know, warped it
1:24:31
on the phone. Yeah, I can
1:24:33
see that it's hot. It's hot, but- But
1:24:35
you can export video very quickly. There you go. And it's
1:24:37
a Pixel 6, like it's just encouraging me to get a
1:24:39
new one. Yeah, it's time. Oh, you get about one week
1:24:42
to go on that. Yeah, before the dines come along and
1:24:44
then we'll see if I run a growth in that much
1:24:46
on a phone. Yeah, I don't know
1:24:48
how fast the lid comes on or whatever, but
1:24:50
I'm probably pretty good. Yeah, phones, you know. Arm
1:24:53
chips or something. I didn't do
1:24:55
it to see if I could get the 5G
1:24:57
feature in Canada yet. I wonder if that's there.
1:24:59
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah. Yeah, go to Surface for
1:25:01
Business and find out. Yeah, I don't know. It's
1:25:04
a great question. I think it, you know what? I'm sorry. I
1:25:07
think I do know. I think it is, I
1:25:09
think it's US and Canada first and the rest
1:25:11
of the markets later. I think if my memory
1:25:13
serves and don't- It makes sense because our carriers
1:25:15
are pretty heavily- No, you say that. That sounds
1:25:17
familiar. Let me see. Bum, bum, bum,
1:25:20
bum, leadership timer. Hmm, I'm not sure. But
1:25:22
anyhow, I considered putting this as
1:25:25
the top story as a joke
1:25:27
today. We
1:25:29
have a lot of controversies in the Microsoft space,
1:25:32
but one of the bigger ones is
1:25:35
the new Outlook, which I
1:25:37
did an unofficial kind of poll and
1:25:39
0% of people like this app. I'd
1:25:43
have not found anyone who likes it. I will say
1:25:45
I don't use an email
1:25:47
app because, you know, normal, but I tried it
1:25:49
and to me it seems fine, but I
1:25:54
paid all email apps, so who cares? But you
1:25:56
know, it is the Outlook thing, integrated email calendar.
1:26:00
contacts, tasks, et cetera, et cetera, all in
1:26:02
one interface, et cetera, et cetera. You
1:26:04
know, based on web technologies, it seems to really rub people
1:26:07
the wrong way, but that's what
1:26:09
all the modern apps are doing because that's
1:26:11
in office in particular, that's the extensibility model.
1:26:14
I mean, it's gonna be web-based, guys. Like,
1:26:17
that's where everything is. So you
1:26:20
don't have to get it right now.
1:26:23
You don't have to replace the thing you're using.
1:26:25
If you're a consumer, you might be using mail
1:26:27
and calendar in Windows 10 or 11. God help
1:26:29
you if that's true, but you might be. And
1:26:32
if you're in a business or a business user, you're
1:26:34
probably using the, I
1:26:36
hate to say it this way, the now legacy Office
1:26:39
Classic or whatever we're calling it, which
1:26:42
is much more powerful and full-featured and
1:26:44
bigger and heavier and complicated and all that stuff.
1:26:46
But, you know, everyone, a lot of people seem
1:26:48
to like that app, and I think that's part
1:26:51
of the problem. So this
1:26:53
is like what a really popular band gets a new
1:26:55
lead singer and he doesn't look or sound anything like
1:26:57
the other guy and people are freaking out like what
1:27:00
is happening here. So anyway,
1:27:02
it's GA, which means it's not in preview. You're
1:27:04
not gonna see a little pre-tag on the icon
1:27:06
anymore, but they will
1:27:08
not replace Classic Outlook or whatever they're calling that for
1:27:10
a couple of years at least, I think it was
1:27:12
2029, if I'm not mistaken, at
1:27:15
the earliest. Yeah, because I cannot
1:27:17
stand this new outlook. Yeah. Yeah.
1:27:20
Like I said, I've not run into anyone who's
1:27:22
been like, oh no, it's okay. No,
1:27:25
it's really not. The reaction is literally, I hate
1:27:27
it with everything in my being. Yeah. Everything I
1:27:29
want to do. And they always have like a
1:27:31
list of what they need. You
1:27:33
know, what does it want to do? You want to
1:27:35
do something like, what do you want to be offline? Like a princess?
1:27:37
I mean, what's your problem, man? You
1:27:40
know, like, that's so weird. But,
1:27:42
you know, the new outlook is
1:27:44
great unless you want to do email. Unless you like
1:27:46
email, yeah. Unless you need email. Exactly.
1:27:50
It's not a thing. Oh, geez. Crazy.
1:27:55
So, moving along, I guess.
1:27:57
Here we go. Yeah.
1:28:01
So big week, um, biggest
1:28:04
antitrust ruling in 20 years
1:28:06
plus since Microsoft's, uh, 99,
1:28:09
I think truly. Yeah. Google was
1:28:11
found guilty of abusing or a of having,
1:28:13
well, not Google has a search monopoly that
1:28:15
is now a legal finding of fact. Yeah.
1:28:17
Um, that's also just common sense. You just
1:28:19
have to look at their usage share numbers.
1:28:22
You get it. Yeah. Um, Google
1:28:24
was also found guilty of illegally abusing
1:28:26
that monopoly. And what that means is
1:28:28
they are maintaining and or
1:28:30
growing it through means that have nothing
1:28:32
to do with making the product better.
1:28:34
They're using their power to hurt competitors
1:28:36
and harm partners and in effect
1:28:38
harm consumers as well through higher prices because of
1:28:40
monopoly. One of the many things they can do
1:28:43
is raise prices indiscriminately.
1:28:45
There's no competition, which
1:28:48
the judge made a really long and good point
1:28:51
of making by comparing them to Microsoft.
1:28:53
So which was kind of tough. I
1:28:55
remember James Barksdale back in the old
1:28:58
Netscape soups pointing out people here using
1:29:00
interx the
1:29:17
ad business and they don't have a monopoly
1:29:19
on the ad business. Yeah, but they, but
1:29:21
they're intrinsically tied. So there's, there's, if you
1:29:23
look at every point in alphabet or Google's
1:29:25
earnings, and so if you look at that
1:29:28
part of the business ads
1:29:31
overall, or I think last quarter was 74%
1:29:33
of their revenues of their revenue, but yeah,
1:29:35
but if you look at the overall ad
1:29:37
market, they're a big player, but they're not
1:29:39
the only, no, right. But, but because, see,
1:29:41
but they do have a monopoly in search.
1:29:44
And so this is the product tying thing.
1:29:46
In other words, they're, um, you
1:29:49
know, they've tied these two things together
1:29:51
and they've created kind of a virtuous
1:29:53
cycle for themselves from a financial sense
1:29:56
because, um, they've
1:29:58
gotten really good at this, right? They're really good. And
1:30:01
they also partner with platform makers,
1:30:03
companies like Apple and Samsung and others that make
1:30:06
Android phones. And they
1:30:08
partner with browser makers, most notably Mozilla,
1:30:10
like we know about this. And to
1:30:13
ensure that Google search is the default
1:30:15
because most
1:30:17
people just don't even think about switching, right?
1:30:19
No, because there's only one. Yeah,
1:30:22
I mean, but this
1:30:24
feeds on itself. And so this notion that
1:30:28
they're kind of paying to play, but
1:30:31
they get the users from that, that
1:30:33
helps them improve the search, which they do.
1:30:36
And search gets better, more people wanna use
1:30:38
it. That's the virtuous cycle. The
1:30:43
problem is that's illegal when you have
1:30:45
a monopoly. And this is in the documents.
1:30:47
I mean, I think it was 2022, I think it was
1:30:49
last one, over
1:30:53
$20 billion, it's been going up every year. The
1:30:57
rumor, there was a story that last year it
1:30:59
was 23 billion to Apple.
1:31:01
For Apple, this is 23 billion
1:31:04
and raw profit. They don't have to do a thing. There's
1:31:07
no research and development. There's no engineering, there's
1:31:09
no nothing. They just take the
1:31:11
product as it is. It's great, works well,
1:31:13
whatever. Everyone thinks those guys hate each other,
1:31:16
surprise. Yeah, I have 23 billion
1:31:18
reasons not to hate you. Yep, and
1:31:22
Apple, Apple's Apple, they still would like to replace
1:31:24
them if they could, but they look at like, what would it take
1:31:26
for us to create or- More money than that. Yep,
1:31:28
and that's to me with the most interesting
1:31:30
thing that comes out of this is the
1:31:33
Microsoft connection because Microsoft connects to this in
1:31:35
two major ways. One
1:31:37
is the legal precedent because
1:31:39
this case is exactly like the DOJ
1:31:41
case against Microsoft in 1998 or nine
1:31:44
or whatever year that was. And
1:31:48
because Microsoft is the only other major company
1:31:50
that has a search engine that might compete
1:31:52
with Google, except that they have 6% of
1:31:55
the market compared to 90, whatever it is. And I
1:31:57
would argue that it's not a competitor in the search
1:31:59
engine space. kind
1:34:00
of stuff. So, you know, at
1:34:02
the end of the day, well, and to be clear,
1:34:04
like they genuinely had a better search algorithm. Like
1:34:07
Google did Google produce better results. There were
1:34:09
other searches when they were first coming on.
1:34:11
There were, you know,
1:34:13
I don't remember everything, but you know, being
1:34:15
here and covering this for the, for the
1:34:17
duration, I mean, there were, there were moments
1:34:19
in time where Microsoft did something that
1:34:22
was like, okay, like, you know, that that's interesting. You
1:34:24
know, they would come up with these kind of a,
1:34:26
I guess I'll call them vertical search, things
1:34:30
that were very interesting, whether it was
1:34:32
windows live search at the time or Bing, eventually, whatever,
1:34:35
where they did a better job in some, to
1:34:37
some capacity for certain things, you know, Microsoft
1:34:40
has the power defaults
1:34:42
working for them in windows
1:34:44
with edge, right? It's the default there.
1:34:47
It's now being used by Copilot,
1:34:49
of course. And to your
1:34:52
point, Richard, I think there's a coming
1:34:54
battle over whatever we call
1:34:56
this thing, but I look at it
1:34:58
as a combination of AI and search
1:35:00
and whether it's AI making search better
1:35:02
or search making AI better or both.
1:35:04
Right. I mean, there's other angles you
1:35:06
could have gone at this on like,
1:35:08
look, I don't search on Google for
1:35:10
products anymore. I go to Amazon. Yeah.
1:35:13
Right. I, they, that
1:35:15
there is a fragmentation of the search market, but only
1:35:17
if you look at it in the ways that people
1:35:19
actually use it. So that
1:35:21
being said, like I don't have a
1:35:24
problem with declaring those guys a monopoly,
1:35:26
like you kind of earned it and
1:35:28
they have been distinctly anti competitive. They
1:35:30
have done everything they can to suppress
1:35:32
competition in their primary space. The
1:35:35
way that people kind of react to
1:35:37
these stories, like the dominant big
1:35:39
tech companies is very interesting to me, right?
1:35:42
Some companies get a pass by
1:35:44
a very large percentage of the audience, like Apple. This just
1:35:46
happens to Apple at the time. It's like, what are you
1:35:48
talking about? Like, dude, if you want to talk about a
1:35:51
past, they love the environment. They
1:35:53
are, you know, they're good people. They, you know, they,
1:35:55
you know, Google, it's like, oh yeah, screw that. Like
1:35:57
they're horrible, you know, but the thing
1:35:59
is, Like they're,
1:36:01
they're, they're all companies guys. Like, I mean,
1:36:04
come on. And they all follow a very
1:36:06
familiar pattern of abuse once they're dominant. And
1:36:08
that dominant, that abuse is what makes their
1:36:10
dominance persist and what makes their
1:36:13
dominance grow, right? And there's a real fear now with
1:36:15
AI that this will keep happening and it will, I
1:36:17
mean, we're not going to prevent it. There's no doubt
1:36:19
about it. But the, but the thing I try to,
1:36:21
I finally, I call it, I think of this as
1:36:23
a paradox. This is probably not the right word, but
1:36:26
people have trouble with things that they believe
1:36:28
are mutually exclusive, like I
1:36:30
could say something negative about Google and
1:36:32
I could say something positive about Google.
1:36:34
They can both be true, right? Like
1:36:37
Google objectively has the best search engine
1:36:39
on the internet. I think most people
1:36:41
would agree with that probably or not
1:36:43
strongly, but whatever. Google
1:36:45
also has behaved in extremely
1:36:47
anti-competitive ways to undermine
1:36:49
their partners, their competitors, and they've
1:36:52
harmed consumers in doing it. Those things can
1:36:54
both be true. Yes. They
1:36:56
both are true by the way, but you know,
1:36:59
and that's true of Apple was true of Microsoft
1:37:01
back in the day, you know, we integrated internet
1:37:03
Explorer into windows and it benefited.
1:37:05
It benefits consumers. Here's the list of ways in
1:37:07
which it benefits them. They're like, yeah, okay. I
1:37:09
mean, we can kind of go back and forth
1:37:11
and whatever, but you also integrated
1:37:13
it into windows in such a way that
1:37:15
it disadvantages competitors because they can't be integrated
1:37:18
with windows to the degree that you are
1:37:20
and the default experiences you when you're not offering a
1:37:22
way to switch and you're using
1:37:25
your market power with windows to gain entry into
1:37:27
this market. And so your defense is, well, it's
1:37:29
so heavily integrated. Now we can't remove it, which
1:37:31
you didn't make the story better. This
1:37:33
is where Google and Microsoft diverge and where
1:37:36
Apple and Microsoft connect because Microsoft during that
1:37:38
trial was the judge said, Hey, you guys
1:37:40
should sell a version of windows that doesn't
1:37:42
have internet Explorer and Bill Gates was like,
1:37:44
yeah, let's do it. Rip it out. And
1:37:46
then they shipped this version of windows. It didn't work. And he's like, what
1:37:49
are you doing? And he's like, I didn't
1:37:51
ask you to ship a broken product. He's like,
1:37:53
you told us to take it out. That's what
1:37:55
happens because you artificially engineered it in such a
1:37:57
way. Right. And that's what Google's doing in
1:37:59
the. you right now, right? It's the same thing. It's like,
1:38:01
well, you told us, we're just meeting the letter. We did
1:38:03
what you said. It's called the
1:38:05
malicious compliance. Yeah. This is how children
1:38:08
behave. Like that's ridiculous. So Google
1:38:10
didn't do that. Google didn't release a version of the
1:38:12
search engine that brought you to the wrong page or
1:38:14
give you the answers to the wrong question or whatever.
1:38:16
But you know, they're, the tactics
1:38:18
are all basically the same. Uh, the, the
1:38:20
reason they are there, the
1:38:23
reasons they're there are basically the same. Right?
1:38:26
So yeah, you know, fun.
1:38:30
For me, it's like a deja vu,
1:38:32
you know, it's a, we're back
1:38:34
again. We're doing it. Well, at the same time, it's
1:38:36
like, how did you let yourself get here? Well,
1:38:40
I don't, how do
1:38:42
you not fall into this trap as a, you
1:38:44
can, there's no version of, Oh
1:38:46
no, we don't just keep reaching for more
1:38:48
money. Yeah. You know, every tech company sucks
1:38:50
when they lead. Yep. They, as long as
1:38:52
they're chasing, they're fine. But the moment they
1:38:55
lead, Oh yeah. This was,
1:38:57
this is, uh, Richard knows this better than anybody,
1:38:59
but one of the big myths in the Microsoft
1:39:01
space is that once Microsoft
1:39:03
obtained, uh,
1:39:05
uh, monopoly, I guess we'll call it our dominance
1:39:07
in the web browser, or market, they stopped working
1:39:09
on the product and they let us sit there.
1:39:11
And that's when Mozilla first came in with Firefox
1:39:13
and we're, you know, eventually Phoenix, Firefox, whatever. And
1:39:15
then eventually Chrome, of course. And by the time
1:39:17
they kind of got their Mojo back and started
1:39:19
working on IE, again, it was too late and
1:39:21
then he switched to edge and it was too
1:39:23
late. And then they changed edge or something new
1:39:25
and it's still too late. Basically. Although they don't
1:39:27
know. The question you have to know, what were
1:39:29
they doing? They were working on.net. No, they weren't. They
1:39:33
were, I thought they moved on to WPF. Didn't they? They
1:39:35
were. Remember WPF wasn't supposed
1:39:37
to be in.net that happened later. Okay.
1:39:39
And let's get crazier and really talk
1:39:42
about what we're talking. Wait, what, what
1:39:44
it became WPF. Yep. What
1:39:46
they were actually doing was re re
1:39:48
engineering HTML and right entirely.
1:39:51
Because that windows shell was going to be based
1:39:53
on something like HTML. And they, and they, and
1:39:55
I think Bill had in his mind
1:39:57
that he wanted to come up with a better web. but
1:40:00
this was the beginning, first we'll make it work on
1:40:02
Windows, then we'll make it work everywhere. It would be
1:40:04
just like the web, but there'd be like a start
1:40:06
button in the corner. There you go. And it had
1:40:08
a little Microsoft logo on it. Yeah, and a dollar
1:40:11
goes to Bill every time you click on it. Yeah,
1:40:13
exactly. Is there a cash register in
1:40:15
here? Yeah, no, because it was- What's the sound scheme? They
1:40:17
literally kept that team together. And
1:40:19
the kicker was that Bill was chief architect
1:40:21
then. He just stepped down as CEO as
1:40:23
all that went on. So, arguably
1:40:26
had entirely too much time to work on
1:40:28
that. This was the presentation part of what
1:40:30
would have been a bigger strategy around, database
1:40:32
file systems and, I
1:40:36
guess computer, internet, whatever communications, et
1:40:39
cetera, et cetera. Well,
1:40:41
and the code name was Avalon for
1:40:43
a reason, right? It was the Paradise.
1:40:46
Right, it still is, baby. I
1:40:48
was just playing around in it today. I
1:40:50
love WPS. Yeah. It's
1:40:53
still Paradise. It's not perfect, but
1:40:55
yeah. What
1:40:58
else is happening in our world? Oh, and this
1:41:00
is only sort of related, but this is gonna
1:41:02
start impacting people. So, Google's been threatening to roll
1:41:04
out Manifest
1:41:06
V3 for several years,
1:41:09
which isn't actually the problem. The problem is when
1:41:12
they obsolete Manifest V2, which
1:41:14
is the manifest that extension
1:41:16
makers use to block ads and trackers
1:41:18
in Chrome and also Chromium based browsers,
1:41:21
right? Well, in other browsers too, is
1:41:23
that Chromium, I'm sorry, Safari and Mozilla
1:41:26
as well. So, this
1:41:28
past month, they quietly slipped
1:41:30
into some really stuff somewhere. They're actually, they have a
1:41:32
schedule for this now. They're doing it. And
1:41:35
one day, week to go, something like that.
1:41:38
If you went to the Chrome web store and you
1:41:41
look for what are the best security products, they have
1:41:43
a little section up there for Chrome. Number one, you
1:41:45
block origin. Google loves it,
1:41:48
but then you click on it and there's a warning at the top of
1:41:50
the page that says, this doesn't conform to
1:41:52
our security principles anymore. We're getting rid of this.
1:41:55
This is gonna stop working soon. And
1:41:58
the problem is that this thing of course uses man. and
1:42:00
they're switching to V3. So
1:42:02
what the UBlock folks did
1:42:05
was they created a different version called, I
1:42:07
think it's called UBlock Lite that
1:42:09
will work with V3. They
1:42:11
claim it's dramatically less effective. I've
1:42:15
talked to a few people, I guess maybe that's
1:42:17
not too many, but who said this works exactly
1:42:19
the same, it's fine. And over
1:42:21
the past few years, a lot
1:42:23
of these companies like the guys from Ghostry have come out a
1:42:25
lot to talk about this. I think
1:42:29
the EFF, which I believe makes privacy badgers
1:42:31
talked about this, it's
1:42:34
actually possible to, this is a lot like
1:42:36
the kernel access stuff in Windows that crowds
1:42:38
cars trick, you know, like it's possible in
1:42:41
V3 to actually do pretty effective blocking, it's
1:42:43
okay. But this is
1:42:45
happening. So for the short
1:42:47
term, unless you're Microsoft, if you're using
1:42:49
edge, you're screwed, but if you're on any other chromium
1:42:52
based browser, they're gonna keep the V2 stuff going as
1:42:54
long as they can, you know, they're already forking chromium
1:42:56
as it is, but they'll keep
1:42:58
that stuff working. They
1:43:01
will continue working in Firefox, they're on their own thing.
1:43:04
I don't know anything about Safari, but I assume they're doing something
1:43:06
similar. So if you like and use
1:43:08
Ublock origin and you're on a different browser, you're gonna be
1:43:10
okay, at least for some amount of time. But if you're
1:43:12
using it on Chrome, I mean,
1:43:14
that's sending some mixed messages, isn't it? It's like, I
1:43:16
want to use the worst possible browser with the best
1:43:18
possible, like what are you doing? Like just use pray
1:43:20
for crying out loud, it doesn't even need this thing.
1:43:24
But anyway, that's happening, so just be aware of that,
1:43:26
because I think a lot of these other extensions
1:43:29
are gonna start running into some issues soon as
1:43:31
well. It's not gonna be just- When you wonder
1:43:33
if the fork will be long-term, right? You
1:43:36
know, forks often happen just to maintain compatibility,
1:43:38
but at some point, you know, we could
1:43:40
see a Firefox or somebody just never come
1:43:42
back to take on
1:43:45
Manifest3. Well, even so, even something
1:43:47
like Brave, right? So Brave said,
1:43:49
yeah, we're gonna keep maintaining this as long as
1:43:51
we can, but they can't promise forever, right? So
1:43:53
there's gonna come some point- There's gonna be important
1:43:55
features they have to have. Yeah, like Chromium will
1:43:58
itself evolve to the point where the- V2
1:44:00
stuff work that they've kept going is not gonna work
1:44:02
anymore. So somewhere down the road, it's gonna be. There's
1:44:04
gonna be things in Chromium you now need to have,
1:44:06
probably security related. And the only way to get them
1:44:09
is to merge the line again. And that means you're
1:44:11
getting an anafestor. Yeah, which is why you should use
1:44:13
Brave because you don't need this thing anyway. Who cares
1:44:15
if they support V2? It doesn't need it. It's
1:44:18
built right in. But
1:44:20
yeah, anyway, that's happening. And
1:44:22
then Microsoft, I think, you
1:44:25
know, in the same way that Microsoft releases updates
1:44:27
for Windows 11 all the time, I
1:44:29
feel like now they're on a little cycle where they
1:44:32
spin a wheel and it's like, all right, three days from now we're
1:44:34
gonna talk about security again. And they
1:44:37
just keep, I don't want anyone
1:44:39
to forget that we're really serious about security.
1:44:41
I know we say that a lot, but we're really
1:44:44
serious about security. They were making their
1:44:46
security the top priority of the company
1:44:48
back in November, I think it was with that
1:44:50
new SDI or whatever the thing is called. They
1:44:54
announced in May, right, tied the bills,
1:44:56
there was a big push in Windows
1:44:58
11. Security is our top
1:45:00
priority. That Clark
1:45:02
CrowdStrike thing happened. So what do we find everybody? We're
1:45:04
super serious about security. And to prove that we're gonna
1:45:06
fix this problem with the industry, because we love you
1:45:09
guys. We don't want this to happen anymore. And
1:45:11
a memo leaked from Microsoft
1:45:14
internally. Microsoft, by the way, has a
1:45:16
Chief People Officer. What's the?
1:45:18
Again, kind of wonder. That's just the new
1:45:21
age name for HR, that's all. Okay,
1:45:23
yeah, okay, the guy who fires people. Yeah,
1:45:25
it's the HR. He literally walks
1:45:27
around wearing a Darth Vader costume just to make
1:45:29
a deal with his job. He's a people person.
1:45:32
I'm a people person. It's like, who does he,
1:45:34
who does he respond? Like, who's
1:45:36
his direct report? I do not believe.
1:45:38
Yeah, he's like, I don't know what
1:45:40
else to deal with again. Faith. So
1:45:43
he sent out an email to everybody at
1:45:45
Microsoft and said, look, I just wanna remind
1:45:47
everybody, we're super serious about security and
1:45:50
we are going to base
1:45:52
your future earnings as an employee
1:45:54
on how well you conform to this.
1:45:56
This never ends well. Google did this
1:45:59
with social, which. which caused created
1:46:01
Google Plus. I
1:46:04
think Meta did it with the
1:46:06
Metaverse. Look how well that's gone.
1:46:11
I hope Microsoft's sincere about this. It's iconic
1:46:13
that it's right out of the crowd strike
1:46:15
thing. The guys in the AI division are
1:46:17
all like, hey, are we actually gonna do
1:46:20
this? And they're like, no, that doesn't affect
1:46:22
me. Not only about that. It is interesting
1:46:24
how they essentially have to do internal memos
1:46:27
in public, right? That's
1:46:29
the only way to make it real. Yeah, that's right. This
1:46:31
is the perfect way. That's a good point. Because
1:46:34
you really want, we have
1:46:36
said we are serious about security several times in the
1:46:38
past few months and no one seems to believe it.
1:46:40
Anyone think of a more effective way to communicate? Why
1:46:42
don't they believe it? I wonder why. Yeah, here's an
1:46:45
idea. Threaten every employee and then they'll believe it. Yeah.
1:46:47
So that's what they did. The, you know,
1:46:50
your pay package is going to be affected
1:46:52
by your role in security. Maybe that's the
1:46:54
thing. That's how you do it. This is
1:46:56
the new stack ranking, right? It's security ranking.
1:46:58
Well, you still have your, you still have
1:47:00
their OKRs, right? I deal with this sort
1:47:02
of thing all the time when you're interacting
1:47:04
with Microsoft employees where it's like, this isn't the time
1:47:06
of my OKR, then I'm not doing it. And
1:47:09
so if that really is- So are they
1:47:11
saying that's part of your OKRs now? Yeah,
1:47:13
I hope it is. Because they do have
1:47:15
to take security seriously. And they do have
1:47:17
to be able to pull the Andon core
1:47:19
to stop production, to say, we have a
1:47:21
serious security problem, rather than wave past
1:47:23
it. To put
1:47:25
in, you know, this all, you talk about
1:47:27
the big SFI kickoff that
1:47:30
was finding a bunch of dev resources on
1:47:32
Azure that were not, that didn't follow the
1:47:34
security process. Well, which by the way, was
1:47:37
the net cause of that late
1:47:39
2023 security vulnerability that no one's
1:47:41
talking about anymore, thanks to CrowdStrike.
1:47:43
Thank you, CrowdStrike. Yeah. You know,
1:47:45
right? We're
1:47:47
not talking about that anymore. And there is a
1:47:50
fix to CrowdStrike, right? There is API calls they
1:47:52
can now have. And arguably Microsoft should be saying,
1:47:54
if there isn't, we'll make you one. Right?
1:47:57
We'll push it out at 22H2 for you. Yeah. The
1:48:00
thing they're almost certainly doing right now is, well,
1:48:02
first of all, they've, they kind of did fix
1:48:04
this already. It's just that no one really knew what
1:48:06
happened. So now you can just
1:48:08
kind of, just kind of re-promote it like it's
1:48:10
new. I mean, we're going to work with CrowdStrike
1:48:13
and the other security vendors so they can implement
1:48:15
these new out of the kernel APIs and blah,
1:48:17
blah, blah. This stuff's been around for five years,
1:48:19
but you know what? Don't worry about it. Because
1:48:22
the other side of this is CrowdStrike has to look at
1:48:24
how many dev cycles that represents versus the feature set their
1:48:26
customers are demanding. Like all you're doing
1:48:28
is fixing something that nobody can tell if
1:48:30
you fixed it correctly. Yeah.
1:48:33
And we don't actually understand the benefit to
1:48:35
it, to the approach
1:48:37
you took, right? No, almost guaranteed
1:48:39
will be slower because
1:48:41
transits, they're transitioning through a security
1:48:44
boundary. It takes time. Yep.
1:48:47
This is, sure. This was, but this, This
1:48:50
goes back to the original- You still put locks on doors,
1:48:52
right? Like you have to- Yeah, this is the, the NT
1:48:54
architecture. You remember they moved the, the
1:48:57
graphics into the kernel.
1:49:00
And it was like, what are you doing? And like, it's faster.
1:49:02
Like, of course it's faster. You know,
1:49:04
like it's, but that was a big debate at the time,
1:49:06
you know? NT was pretty top.
1:49:08
Well, and the argument was, as
1:49:11
soon as you don't allow third-party drivers in ring zero.
1:49:13
And the answer after Vista was, forget it, we'll
1:49:15
just write the drivers. Yes, right.
1:49:18
Which, you know, like everything else in the world, the
1:49:20
hardware vendors hate that kind of thing, but that's part
1:49:22
of the story recently where they said, hey, here's an
1:49:24
idea. We'll straight it all, we'll write the printer drivers
1:49:26
now. If I'm responsible for 20,000 machines
1:49:28
in my office, I'm going
1:49:30
to run reference drivers. I don't care about
1:49:32
features. I care about reliability. Oh, that's, okay.
1:49:35
That's a very, that's an interesting and appropriate
1:49:37
kind of customer facing view of it. But
1:49:39
for Microsoft's for a second, they're, we
1:49:41
just start, they get blamed for everything, right? Yep. We're going
1:49:43
to catch it anyway. You're still going to use PSS. We're
1:49:46
going to, we're going to fix printers. We
1:49:48
don't even make a printer. We've never made a
1:49:50
printer, but we're still going to fix this because
1:49:52
apparently you guys can't stop writing crappy drivers. So
1:49:54
we're going to fix it. And because we
1:49:56
are the ones who get blamed. We're the ones who get called,
1:49:59
you know, and. We are the ones who get threatened because
1:50:01
they're gonna move to some other platform and
1:50:04
it was your fault. So yeah, I mean, this
1:50:06
is a pretty common pattern,
1:50:08
unfortunately. Yeah, no, and it's a
1:50:10
tough problem because part of Microsoft's whole play is having
1:50:12
a broad ecosystem with many vendors so that you have
1:50:15
lots of choice, but then they have to
1:50:17
do things they're not good at. Double-edged
1:50:19
sword and every one of those companies
1:50:21
says a different strategy for success that
1:50:23
is counter to what everyone else is
1:50:25
doing. You know, that's, this is the
1:50:27
reality. So yeah, it's good and bad.
1:50:31
No, if there were simple answers, we would have
1:50:33
used them. It's weird because there isn't really nuance
1:50:35
anywhere else in life and it's funny, we've never
1:50:37
encountered this before. Nuance,
1:50:40
what's that? I don't know what you're
1:50:42
talking about. I'm still really
1:50:44
amazed that I still haven't opened this bottle
1:50:46
of whiskey. I don't, I
1:50:48
know. Okay, so that's what I'm about to say.
1:50:50
Still to come, still to come. We've got earnings.
1:50:52
There are some stills and rings on
1:50:55
the table. We've got
1:50:57
Xbox and Richard
1:50:59
has said that this is a really good.
1:51:01
I'm very happy with what I found. Liquor coming
1:51:03
up. So all of that
1:51:05
ahead, you're watching Windows Weekly. Richard Campbell
1:51:08
with Runaz Radio and
1:51:10
.net rocks at runazradio.com. Paul
1:51:12
Thirot at thirot.com. Me,
1:51:15
I'm the little old winemaker me. No, I,
1:51:17
I'm just sitting in the middle. Do
1:51:20
you remember those ads? Yeah. The
1:51:23
little old winemaker me. I can't remember. I don't
1:51:25
remember what the wine was. It was
1:51:27
around the same time as Bartles and James. I was gonna
1:51:29
say it's gotta be like a Reuniti or something or something.
1:51:31
Yeah, I think it was. It was like, it was some
1:51:33
horrible wine. Back in the old days, people
1:51:35
didn't know wine and they were drinking, you know,
1:51:37
Orson Welles. Matus used to do like a wine ad for
1:51:39
some reason. Yes. Little old wine
1:51:42
drinker me is a Dean Martin song. Oh,
1:51:44
all right. Yeah, but
1:51:47
that makes sense. I would use it in a. Yeah. Matus
1:51:49
Rose. Let's
1:51:51
continue on, Paul. You
1:51:53
got some earnings for us? You do. Swiss
1:51:56
colony. Swiss colony. Thank you.
1:51:59
Okay. That's a little shocking. I would never
1:52:01
come up with a Swiss colony. There's the
1:52:03
cut. So kids won't remember this, but there
1:52:05
was a time when people didn't really know
1:52:07
anything about wine and they drank the worst
1:52:09
wine possible. Cheap. Boon's farm.
1:52:11
The first thing I ever got drunk as a
1:52:13
teenager. The Boon's farm.
1:52:17
There was Bartles and James, which was like a
1:52:20
drink of some kind. There was
1:52:22
Matus and there was Swiss colony and
1:52:25
it was all terrible wine, but we didn't, we didn't
1:52:27
know. What did we know? Anyway,
1:52:30
I don't know if it's better now. I don't know
1:52:32
if it's better now. It's schnapps. Yeah.
1:52:35
The kids still drink Jäger. I mean. I
1:52:37
mean. I know. Yeah. Ugh.
1:52:41
The mad is never once your one
1:52:43
FM. Voutre rubrico tome bille revgavu don't
1:52:45
rendezvous. Tour univerrée de nouvelle tans
1:52:47
nous southe me bille. Et c'est,
1:52:49
conseil, securité, technology, accessor, y a
1:52:51
maximam de plaisir sur la hault.
1:52:54
Chac semaine vivais nouvele avantur. Alors,
1:52:56
vous pranelle vous en récne, avec que mille
1:52:58
frégion et bécassieurs, fait bate très le quieur
1:53:00
de la passières comme abilégionnéve. This
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Currents issued by Sutton bag and
1:54:03
Celtic bag members of DIC terms
1:54:05
and conditions supply. There it
1:54:07
is. Italian Swiss colony.
1:54:11
Well, they're so rad aren't they? I
1:54:13
think they are. I think they're just up the road
1:54:15
at peace. Sorry for the digression, but the- They're not
1:54:17
like outside of Detroit. What? You're
1:54:21
in the- Is the wine- They're in the
1:54:24
Ottawa wine region. So
1:54:26
it could exist. I don't know. You'll be warming.
1:54:29
You never know. Last
1:54:31
week we talked about Microsoft's earnings, obviously
1:54:33
blockbuster. We mentioned Intel kind
1:54:36
of lightning round this one cause we got some
1:54:38
big tech and then just some chip maker stuff.
1:54:40
So arm holdings, right? Almost a billion in revenues,
1:54:43
up 39% by the way in revenues, gross
1:54:47
margins, that's up to 96.5%. You
1:54:50
thought it couldn't get any higher. They
1:54:53
did not raise their
1:54:55
annual earnings forecast and actually that Wall
1:54:57
Street punished them for that. They expect
1:54:59
crazy growth. They're looking for some sort
1:55:01
of AI play, but
1:55:04
yeah. So here's what's amusing to me. Folks
1:55:08
may remember that RM is
1:55:10
suing Qualcomm for its Nuvia
1:55:12
based Snapdragon X chips
1:55:14
that we keep talking about because it wants
1:55:16
them to pay both royalties, right? Not just
1:55:18
the Qualcomm royalties, but the Nuvia royalties. And
1:55:22
Qualcomm's argument is we pay you more royalties than
1:55:24
anybody. We, what are you talking
1:55:26
about? We have any set of royalties. This is
1:55:28
covered by our royalties. RM
1:55:30
disagrees. So that's
1:55:33
kind of hanging over Snapdragon X, but it
1:55:35
didn't stop RM from promoting Snapdragon X in
1:55:37
their earnings announcement without mentioning
1:55:39
Qualcomm once, which is
1:55:41
awesome. Awesome. So
1:55:44
they said during the quarter, Microsoft announced
1:55:46
its first generation co-pilot plus PCs on
1:55:48
ARM, double the battery life
1:55:50
of the closest PC competitor and on
1:55:52
par with macOS. Every
1:55:55
major software app and developer tool now runs
1:55:58
natively on Windows on ARM. including
1:56:00
Office, Chrome, Slack, and GitHub. Blah,
1:56:03
blah, blah. Nope, no Qualcomm. Qualcomm played no
1:56:06
role in that. So that's a little classic.
1:56:08
Well done. Well, nice piece of writing. I
1:56:10
love that kind of stuff. That's good. And
1:56:13
then speaking of Qualcomm,
1:56:15
Qualcomm is also doing really well,
1:56:17
although they've got a smartphone-like problem
1:56:20
that Intel has with PC, or
1:56:22
I guess with everything. They
1:56:25
keep pushing back like when smartphones are gonna
1:56:27
come back. The interesting
1:56:29
little side story for this company is
1:56:32
that the architecture they created, or modified,
1:56:34
or whatever for Snapdragon X is
1:56:36
what they're going to use for their next generation
1:56:39
bone chips. And they're gonna announce
1:56:41
those in October at their annual Snapdragon
1:56:43
event. So maybe
1:56:46
this was their way of saying, yeah, the
1:56:49
sales of that stuff is fairly
1:56:52
flat. Although honestly, that part
1:56:54
of the business rose 12%, just like
1:56:56
Intel's PC part of the business rode 9%. So
1:56:59
actually that's still
1:57:01
doing well, but the next big
1:57:03
jump in revenue gains is gonna happen
1:57:06
with these next gen chips. Presumably that's not gonna
1:57:08
happen in time for the holidays. So Wall
1:57:11
Street, not too happy with them either. Apple
1:57:14
made what I'm gonna call, I'm using, this is
1:57:16
like a financial term, a bajillion dollars, I think
1:57:18
was the term. Bajillions.
1:57:22
$85.8 billion on 21.4 billion in net income
1:57:24
profit, right? These
1:57:29
are single digit gains, but come on.
1:57:31
This is like the biggest, it's like a humongous.
1:57:35
iPhone revenues, roughly flat. They actually fell a little
1:57:38
bit, but still. 93 point
1:57:40
something billion compared to 93, I'm sorry. Yeah,
1:57:42
39 point something billion compared to 90, she's
1:57:45
like, can't read, to 39 point
1:57:47
billion something last year. So basically the same,
1:57:49
45% of their revenues. The
1:57:53
big news here is that for the
1:57:55
past, I'm gonna say two years-ish, services
1:57:58
has been their second biggest business. followed
1:58:01
by in shifting order Mac
1:58:04
and iPad, right? And then the other devices
1:58:06
they make. But this quarter,
1:58:09
I didn't realize this until after I'd written
1:58:12
my story. Services was bigger than everything else
1:58:14
that Apple makes combined except for iPhone. So
1:58:16
when you add up the revenues from Mac,
1:58:19
iPad, and then the other part, which is wearables,
1:58:21
home and accessories, services
1:58:23
made more than all of those. Yeah.
1:58:26
Services should always have been the biggest business. Well, they
1:58:28
got into it late, right? And
1:58:30
I don't think they've grown it particularly well either.
1:58:33
I think they're having a tough time. They're really
1:58:35
a hardware company. Services businesses is a different mindset.
1:58:37
Yeah, it's a different, right. And Apple's strength was
1:58:39
never software. They're doing better. And
1:58:42
part of that ecosystem manifesto, I
1:58:45
guess I was delivering earlier, is that one of
1:58:47
the interesting things about their services is that most
1:58:49
of them, not all of them, but
1:58:51
most of them work everywhere you have an
1:58:53
Apple device, right? As well as you. Yeah, you
1:58:55
don't get like a- That's being the walled garden,
1:58:57
it should be absolutely symmetrical. Yep. Yeah,
1:59:00
so that's kind of, you know, so it's getting there, but
1:59:02
it's getting there. We'll see what it looks
1:59:04
like when Apple or in Google's $23 billion
1:59:06
in revenues goes away because that's
1:59:09
about 25% of that business's revenues. So
1:59:12
that's gonna be interesting. The other question
1:59:14
mark for me is Apple intelligence doesn't
1:59:16
show up in this earnings report yet.
1:59:18
Because granted they have not shipped it,
1:59:20
but you'd think the believers would just buy. But
1:59:23
I think, and I'm among them, like
1:59:26
I would consider an iPhone if
1:59:28
Apple intelligence really is great.
1:59:30
Yeah, so I'm
1:59:33
trying to think what I'm gonna see you next. That's
1:59:36
an interesting conversation. It's gonna be a lot more interesting when
1:59:38
there's more to see, but- Ignite in
1:59:40
Chicago? Yeah, Chicago would be November.
1:59:43
So by then we'll actually have something to look at. So-
1:59:45
Hopefully. The, I
1:59:47
would say the big difference between Apple and
1:59:50
say Microsoft and other platform, and actually Google, right?
1:59:52
The two platform makers that are also kind of
1:59:54
all in on AI
1:59:56
and are cap Xing the hell out of
1:59:58
AI for some reason. infrastructure costs. Apple
2:00:01
is not doing that, right? No. Apple's
2:00:03
in an interesting position where they can go to like open
2:00:05
AI and say, we'd like to partner with you. And
2:00:08
we're not giving you anything. You
2:00:11
just want access to our customer base, just like
2:00:13
Google does, right? I mean, so it's,
2:00:16
you know, this is a virtuous cycle thing
2:00:18
for them. They, this may work out for them because
2:00:21
they don't really have to, I mean, they will. Yeah,
2:00:23
I think that, and they're being the slow mover side
2:00:25
of things is pretty great, you know? Set
2:00:27
a line on a different call, not a
2:00:29
show related call where I said, listen, we
2:00:32
all know people are screaming about a gold
2:00:34
rush and there's lots of shovels and jeans
2:00:36
being made. I'm just still looking for the
2:00:38
golds. Well, and
2:00:41
from Apple's perspective, the
2:00:43
slow approach has almost always paid off.
2:00:45
And in this case, it's particularly good
2:00:48
because the costs are so astronomically high
2:00:51
early in the cycle. Yeah. It
2:00:53
makes it really expensive. Yeah. Although
2:00:55
again, we are talking about companies that are
2:00:57
paying for this stuff with cash, right?
2:01:00
Yes. Like, you know,
2:01:02
what's the difference between what they would
2:01:05
normally do in this? Fewer stock buybacks,
2:01:07
but only fewer. Yeah. Like
2:01:10
that's all that's happening is, oh, we have
2:01:12
something to do with this cash. There's different
2:01:14
ways that companies can invest the money they
2:01:16
got, you know, from investors and grow the
2:01:18
value of that stock. And Apple's
2:01:20
pretty good. They're pretty good at making money. I mean, say what
2:01:23
you will, but they're pretty good at that. Really
2:01:27
good at that. Maybe it's the right way to say that.
2:01:29
So, and then Amazon, of course, I know what's north of a
2:01:31
bajillion, but they made 148 billion in revenues and
2:01:36
a net income of 13.5 billion. They're,
2:01:39
you know, they're interesting because the vast majority
2:01:42
of their revenues comes from retail operations, as
2:01:44
I would call it, like online stores, physical
2:01:46
stores, most online stores. They're warehousing companies. Right,
2:01:48
right, right. They're a logistics company, you know,
2:01:50
in some ways, right? But
2:01:53
they're most, I'm
2:01:56
going to call it profitable business by
2:01:58
percentage anyway. is of
2:02:00
course AWS, right? So 22.1 billion in
2:02:02
revenues, 5.4 billion in net income. Yeah.
2:02:07
Those are normal tech company numbers. Back
2:02:10
to the whole AWS company. You look at that part of
2:02:12
the company and you see tech. Yeah, exactly.
2:02:14
You look at the rest of it. It's like, what is this? Yeah,
2:02:18
if you're an investor, you're like, these companies need to be
2:02:20
split apart. I'll take shares in both. Yeah,
2:02:24
so right. Yep. Yeah,
2:02:26
there's an argument to be made
2:02:28
that Amazon did anyway,
2:02:31
and because they're starting to be profitable overall. That
2:02:33
was not the case for a while, that
2:02:36
they were able to leverage the
2:02:38
profits from AWS to voice new
2:02:41
businesses onto the world. Which may lead them down
2:02:43
an antitrust path, right? That's what I mean. Yeah,
2:02:45
like that may be, yeah. Because it's not just
2:02:47
that you got, we usually talk
2:02:49
about you got a monopoly, you deserved
2:02:51
it, you made a great product, God
2:02:53
love you. But there's also
2:02:56
that version where you got a monopoly through
2:02:58
illicit means and that is
2:03:00
also illegal. You don't have to. Well, yeah,
2:03:02
if you are in the Amazon from a
2:03:05
retail company, their margins are predatory.
2:03:07
I mean, huge money. And
2:03:09
if you're in it because they're a tech company, their margins
2:03:11
are garbage. Because the margin should
2:03:14
be 20, 30 plus percent, right? And
2:03:18
they're not, they can't do that because they have
2:03:20
these two combined businesses that really don't get along
2:03:22
all that well. Yep.
2:03:25
Yeah, I mean, they're not even related in any way really.
2:03:27
Right? I mean, I don't
2:03:29
want to feed the other. The retail operation
2:03:32
is a customer of the cloud business. Yeah,
2:03:34
I didn't get into this with
2:03:37
the Intel stuff, but they Intel reports their
2:03:39
fab business as if it were a second
2:03:42
business separate from them. Right,
2:03:44
it's not, but you know, because they're trying
2:03:46
to show that this thing can
2:03:48
be profitable on its own and will be a, you
2:03:52
know, a growth profit center at some
2:03:54
point. But Intel, IMD could, jeez, Amazon
2:03:57
could do that with AWS in a way. And
2:03:59
actually. Honestly, you can see what it would be because they
2:04:01
are very transparent about the numbers. So you
2:04:03
kind of get a look into that if you
2:04:05
wanted to. All
2:04:07
right. Okay. Ready?
2:04:10
Xbox. So excited. There's
2:04:12
some stuff going on. I'm just trying to say, I don't
2:04:14
have any like super bad news about Xbox this week.
2:04:17
So that's kind of fun. But
2:04:20
it's the news we're still missing. Cross
2:04:22
your fingers. I mean, it's the day
2:04:24
is young, but there
2:04:27
are two big industry events coming up with the
2:04:29
next 30 days or so. And both
2:04:31
of them are in Germany. It
2:04:33
was like, what was the last time you ever said that?
2:04:36
That's when all the Xbox stuff happens.
2:04:38
She's in Germany. So gamers com is
2:04:41
happening end of August in clone clone.
2:04:43
I was struggling with that. Clone.
2:04:46
Clone. Yeah. And
2:04:48
then in very, very end of August,
2:04:50
I think beginning of September is IFA, which
2:04:53
is in Berlin. So opposite sides
2:04:55
of the country, opposite sides of the business, whatever.
2:04:58
Right. Microsoft is not just going to games
2:05:00
com, but they are going to show off over
2:05:02
50, as they said it, playable games
2:05:04
and the idea that it is. Unplayable games are
2:05:06
going to show off. That's what I want. Well,
2:05:09
then it's no, that's what they did when they
2:05:11
showed off that redshift game or whatever. What was
2:05:13
that vampire game? That piece of crap. So
2:05:16
unplayable, which is not the thing
2:05:18
you want to see in the title of the review. No,
2:05:21
what that means is they're not going to show up videos. They're
2:05:23
going to put games out on the floor. People can walk up
2:05:26
and play them. So Star Wars
2:05:28
games, Indiana Jones games, all kinds of stuff.
2:05:30
So still sounds good. That's
2:05:33
good. And I have this one
2:05:35
I've not looked at, but there is a free first
2:05:38
person shooter called Ballerin, which
2:05:41
is on Xbox series, XNS
2:05:43
and PlayStation. This was pretty
2:05:46
fantastic and it's
2:05:48
on PC. So I have no excuse, but I'm going
2:05:51
to take a look at this. It looks interesting.
2:05:53
It's supposed to be really good. Yeah.
2:05:55
It looks like a next gen Overwatch
2:05:57
maybe that kind of game. Yeah. slightly,
2:06:00
a lot of people love it. Yeah. Yeah.
2:06:02
It's supposed to be fast moving more down
2:06:04
the realism path than I ever watched, but
2:06:06
yeah. Yeah. Right. Little. Yeah. Not
2:06:09
much more, not much. No, but it's a
2:06:11
little bit like, like we're not quite Pixar,
2:06:14
you know, but better than cartoon, I
2:06:16
guess. So this one I might
2:06:18
need a little bit help on cause I've been complaining.
2:06:20
You probably didn't notice about the lack of Activision
2:06:23
Blizzard games on game pass, but if I'm not
2:06:25
mistaken, uh, there's
2:06:28
something called cash crash bandicoot
2:06:32
and we seen a dish trilogy. Isn't
2:06:35
that an Activision Blizzard game? Not
2:06:38
originally. No. I mean, they may have ended
2:06:40
up buying it. Is it Sega? Who made,
2:06:42
who made crash? Yeah. I think it was
2:06:45
originally a Sony game. Oh
2:06:47
geez. Okay. Built by naughty dog. Nevermind. This
2:06:49
is yet another one. No games. God damn
2:06:51
they speak up. So, um, all right. Well
2:06:53
that's coming to game pass in the second
2:06:55
half of this month.
2:06:57
The mafia definitive edition. This
2:07:01
is a good month because I actually recognized
2:07:03
some of these games. So that's pretty good.
2:07:05
Yeah. Names you can recognize. Yep. And plus,
2:07:07
you know, the, the recent, um, Call
2:07:10
of Duty, right? Is there now as
2:07:12
well. Never. It's
2:07:15
a little indie game. They're trying to
2:07:17
make it work. You know, it's like they'll get there. So,
2:07:20
uh, Sony and Microsoft, uh, Sony and Nintendo,
2:07:22
I'm really losing my ability to speak here.
2:07:24
Uh, also announced their earnings. These guys are
2:07:27
both at the tail end of their cycle
2:07:29
for the current gen console. So things are,
2:07:31
you know, the, you know, real sign about
2:07:33
the next gen console. Yeah. There's been not,
2:07:36
not a lot of rumor on the Sony
2:07:38
side. So the PlayStation five only sold 2.4
2:07:40
million consoles. The most recent quarter, it was
2:07:42
3.3 a year ago, over
2:07:45
60 million overall. They're on track to
2:07:47
have the worst
2:07:50
selling PlayStation console of all time. Like
2:07:52
this is probably going to be the
2:07:54
slowest selling of all of them. Right.
2:07:56
It's expensive. Um, it's
2:07:58
not their fault in many ways. They
2:08:01
and Microsoft both chose to launch these things for
2:08:03
better or worse, right in the middle of the
2:08:05
pandemic. Lots of
2:08:07
component shortage problems, remember. Sony
2:08:09
did a better job with that than
2:08:11
Microsoft. And they are outselling the Xbox by pretty
2:08:14
wide margins, but, you know, their
2:08:18
game business, which is called game and network services,
2:08:22
lots and lots of money. They're doing great. Actually,
2:08:24
it's their, I think it's their biggest, yes, their
2:08:26
biggest business overall. Sony, you
2:08:28
have to, all the math I do with Sony, it's
2:08:31
like what it looks like if you don't include their
2:08:33
financial services business, which is a huge part of the
2:08:35
company. But
2:08:37
they've sold 53.6 million software units. They
2:08:41
had a game, Helldivers 2, that sold 12 million
2:08:43
units in the quarter. It's really, really great, Graham.
2:08:46
It's incredible. So they're, you know, given
2:08:48
where they are, they're good. They have 160
2:08:50
million monthly active users on PlayStation network that's up
2:08:52
7% plus over a year. So
2:08:55
yeah, okay. Nintendo
2:08:58
had been doing great, but their
2:09:00
latest report wasn't great. And they
2:09:02
declined to update on when the
2:09:04
next gen switch was coming. Remember they had
2:09:06
said, they didn't say they'd release it.
2:09:09
They'd said they'd announce it before the end of their
2:09:11
fiscal year, which is ending at the end of June,
2:09:13
March rather. And they did not, they
2:09:15
had nothing to add to that. They didn't lower
2:09:18
their earnings forecast for the rest of the fiscal year,
2:09:20
which is good, I guess. But like Sony did that
2:09:22
last year and that didn't work out. So they
2:09:25
only sold 2.1 million switch consoles in the
2:09:27
quarter that was down 46% from last year. They
2:09:30
sold almost 40. Yeah, they did very well last year. Yeah,
2:09:33
they're doing, they're doing bad right now. So software sales,
2:09:35
same thing, 41.3% down. The
2:09:38
little asterisks here is that last year, Nintendo
2:09:41
benefited from something that makes no sense to anyone
2:09:43
who has a brain in their head because they
2:09:45
don't, why would you think this? But
2:09:48
Nintendo is starting to get into movies again.
2:09:50
And they had a Mario movie last year
2:09:53
that really helped sales of their games.
2:09:55
And that was the bump they got. So- year
2:09:58
over year measures and don't make- you machines every
2:10:00
year. Yeah. There's no,
2:10:02
right. There hasn't been a rev. Yep. There's
2:10:05
still, oh, lead's still the best one. But I do
2:10:07
like the idea that there is things that could do
2:10:09
like making movies and things that engender enthusiasm for certain.
2:10:11
And they actually did say that they're working on a
2:10:13
sequel to that movie and they're hoping to get a
2:10:15
little bump from that whenever it comes out. You can't
2:10:17
crank out a movie every year either. Like it takes
2:10:19
more. See, it depends on who you are, Richard. So
2:10:21
I don't know if you know
2:10:23
how Netflix makes movies, but give me, all you need
2:10:25
is like lots of teams. Ryan Reynolds and a green
2:10:28
screen and you could get a crap
2:10:30
out of movie in like 10 minutes. Yeah. They do
2:10:32
a bunch of those. I think it's more of a
2:10:34
Jon Favreau thing, but yeah. Yeah, yeah, right. That's it,
2:10:36
right. It'll make us start. We have yet another Star
2:10:39
Wars series. Yet another Star Wars. Switch
2:10:41
has sold over 143 million units overall. They
2:10:46
will probably beat their own record, meaning that
2:10:48
that device will probably become their best-selling
2:10:50
console of all time by the time it
2:10:52
winds down. So the best one so far
2:10:54
is the Nintendo DS, which has sold 154
2:10:57
million units. So
2:10:59
based on their, if they hit
2:11:01
their numbers for the year. The PS2 is like 155 million. Like
2:11:04
we were talking about the outer reaches
2:11:06
of the most successful video game consoles
2:11:09
of all time. Yeah, I mean, I think
2:11:11
the PlayStation 4 was up there, 120 million,
2:11:13
something like that. It's like, it's somewhere up
2:11:15
there. Yeah. Even
2:11:17
like the worst gen for them
2:11:19
to date was the PS3. And I don't remember the
2:11:22
exact where it landed, but it was somewhere around 90.
2:11:25
I'm really shocked. 90,
2:11:27
yes. I would be shocked
2:11:29
if they hit that with the PlayStation. But look,
2:11:32
yeah. If
2:11:34
you're over 150 million on anything in
2:11:37
this scenario, you're magic. Like that's crazy,
2:11:39
crazy. There's only a handful of devices
2:11:41
that made 100. And let's not forget,
2:11:43
Nintendo made the Wii U. So, you
2:11:46
know, they're not always perfect. They're not
2:11:48
always perfect. Not everything
2:11:50
is perfect. They don't always win. Yeah,
2:11:52
that's fine. Well, and I don't know
2:11:54
how you follow the Switch. I don't know.
2:11:58
You call it the Switch 2. Yeah. The
2:12:00
switch ultra the switcheroo the switch
2:12:02
4k Well,
2:12:06
it's coming out next year I can't wait I'll
2:12:08
be on the online I
2:12:12
love my switch All
2:12:15
right, well, let's take a little break and when we
2:12:17
come back We are gonna go to the back of the
2:12:19
book. That means tips that means apps That
2:12:22
means brown booze, maybe
2:12:25
and a good one Okay, according to Richard this
2:12:28
week a surprise a delight. It's always a good
2:12:30
one But this was a delightful
2:12:32
surprise like this one. I was looking at the
2:12:34
site earlier Yeah, no,
2:12:36
this one's this one blindsided me. Don't get ahead. Oh
2:12:40
It's exciting The
2:12:43
mad is never once your one FM The vote
2:12:45
will break up to mobile have Gavin don't have
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to do to univer it in a
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a security technology access war. He a
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maximum the pleasure Shaxman
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vivine nouveau volunteer. Hello Who planned on
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a week new a vehicle fresh on
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a vacation fed by the court of
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podcast is sponsored by ramp Are you a
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2:14:00
ramp.com/easy, ramp.com/easy currents issued by
2:14:02
Sutton bag and Celtic bag
2:14:05
members of DIC terms and
2:14:07
conditions apply. But first
2:14:09
I want to put in a plug for
2:14:11
our great club members, 12,484 strong. We
2:14:17
love you. I know. Is that, you know, on
2:14:21
the one hand, you know, we were hoping
2:14:23
for maybe 5% of our audience, which
2:14:26
would be more than
2:14:28
twice that, but that's, you know, that's a
2:14:30
lot. 12,000 people
2:14:33
is mind boggling. Really. It's fantastic. Yeah.
2:14:36
Um, it's, it's, let's see, we have, I think
2:14:38
750,000, uh, uniques
2:14:40
every month. So, you know,
2:14:44
it's, it's one 1% of
2:14:46
the total. I would like to see more than one
2:14:49
in a hundred people in the club. Could
2:14:51
we make it two or three? I'll tell
2:14:53
you the thing. Uh, right now with
2:14:55
the 12,000 members that pays half our payroll,
2:14:59
that's fantastic. Doesn't include
2:15:01
any of the other expenses, but it pays half the
2:15:03
payroll. People are expensive. They're the most expensive part of
2:15:06
any business. They're also what makes things work. Yeah.
2:15:09
I tried it all by myself. Not
2:15:11
the same. No.
2:15:14
So if we made it,
2:15:16
if we doubled that, if we got to two
2:15:18
or 3%, we would cover our entire payroll. If
2:15:21
we got to 5%, we would have
2:15:23
so much extra money that I would move
2:15:25
to Bermuda. No, I wouldn't. What
2:15:29
we would do is we'd expand, we'd
2:15:31
pay people more, we'd expand, we'd add
2:15:33
shows. So the club to
2:15:35
us is really, that's where we can grow. The
2:15:38
ad revenue is pretty flat. It's gone down
2:15:40
a little bit. It's kind of gone up
2:15:42
now, but it's, it's pretty flat. It's just
2:15:44
normal. And that covers the other
2:15:46
half of the right now, the other half of
2:15:49
the salaries and didn't cover the studio. That's why
2:15:51
we're moving out. I
2:15:54
would love to see us be just completely listener
2:15:57
supported. We do exactly what you want. We could
2:15:59
do a lot. more because you
2:16:01
know there's content that we could make for
2:16:03
instance me just coming on an hour a
2:16:05
day shooting the breeze that no advertisers gonna
2:16:07
buy but if the club members wanted it
2:16:09
we could do it that kind of thing
2:16:12
so that's why we really keep I don't
2:16:14
I'm not I don't like begging I'm not
2:16:16
a I don't want to do
2:16:18
pledge breaks and all that I just
2:16:20
want to give you an opportunity to participate if you
2:16:22
want if you like what you hear on this
2:16:24
show and the other shows if you want more of
2:16:26
that if you want to encourage us
2:16:28
it's kind of a way of casting a vote for
2:16:31
what we do join the club twit.tv
2:16:33
slash club twit there yes their benefits you
2:16:36
know and your ad free versions of all
2:16:38
the shows there's additional content there's video where
2:16:40
there isn't video in the public things like
2:16:43
that but really that's the it's
2:16:45
the feeling that you're supporting something you like and you
2:16:47
want to see more of if
2:16:49
that matches you know your goals and you
2:16:51
can afford seven bucks a month I understand
2:16:53
believe me if you're outside the US and
2:16:55
it's a hardship or because of the exchange
2:16:57
rates and all that or if you're inside
2:16:59
the US and you know times are tight
2:17:01
and I know a lot of us that's
2:17:03
the case fine that's
2:17:06
great because we still make most of
2:17:09
our stuff available for free but
2:17:11
if you can't afford it I would love it if
2:17:13
you would go to twit.tv slash club twit and
2:17:16
join the club we'd like to have you the
2:17:18
discord is great it's a place where club members
2:17:21
hang out it's
2:17:23
I just want to put in a plug for that let you
2:17:25
know how much it means to us we're
2:17:28
doing our part you know we're cutting
2:17:30
back but what we
2:17:32
would like to do is is do more so twit.tv
2:17:35
slash club twit that's all that's all I have to
2:17:37
say now to the back of the
2:17:40
book and our tip of the week mr. Paul Tharott
2:17:42
and believe it or not it
2:17:44
involves word star yep that's great
2:17:46
I know it's it's overdue frankly but it's
2:17:49
about time ball this is for
2:17:52
yeah so an
2:17:54
award-winning science fiction author who has been using
2:17:56
word star since the late 1970s and has
2:17:58
never stopped using
2:18:00
Wordstar. And by the way, Wordstar for DOS
2:18:03
has released a complete archive of
2:18:05
this software that includes thousands
2:18:08
of pages of documentation, the complete
2:18:10
archives of the CompuServe forums for
2:18:13
Wordstar from back in the day, his
2:18:16
own little custom configurations, the
2:18:18
emulators you need to run this thing. And
2:18:22
he like, what's
2:18:24
the guy who writes Game of Thrones, R.
2:18:27
Martin uses Wordstar to
2:18:29
this day. That's so fun. And
2:18:31
if you go to this guy's site, it's actually kind
2:18:33
of fascinating. It kind of looks like he uses Wordstar.
2:18:35
He kind of has that, I
2:18:38
use Wordstar kind of look, you know what I'm saying?
2:18:40
Yeah, a little bit nuts. You have to be a
2:18:42
little bit nuts. I like his
2:18:44
stuff. This is fascinating. Just
2:18:46
as a treasure trove of
2:18:48
historical data, I mean,
2:18:50
this is amazing. The number of
2:18:52
famous authors who have used this over time, granted most
2:18:54
of these guys were back in the day, like Arthur
2:18:56
C. Clarke, right? And Rice
2:18:59
who obviously uses a modern
2:19:01
computer in Microsoft Word or actually
2:19:04
George R. R. Martin still uses this thing.
2:19:08
What's the guy's, Michael Crichton, right? The guy, not
2:19:10
Michael Crichton, I'm sorry, they're an author, but have
2:19:13
used this software and
2:19:15
a couple, I guess, still do. So I looked
2:19:17
at it today, I gotta tell you, it's completely
2:19:19
unusable. I have no idea what he's talking about,
2:19:21
but he makes a passion plea
2:19:23
for why this thing is
2:19:25
still superior. My fingers still do control
2:19:28
KS. I mean, I- A lot of
2:19:30
people do, yeah. Yeah, I could see-
2:19:32
So I- You have
2:19:34
to run in DOS, so it means you have to
2:19:36
run a DOS emulator. I mean, I use the Markdown
2:19:38
editor, so I'm like, I could probably do this, but
2:19:41
I didn't really get into this stuff
2:19:44
until WordPerfect, probably four, maybe three point
2:19:46
something, but I
2:19:48
used Microsoft Word in DOS, obviously,
2:19:51
and then it just runs like a hot
2:19:53
dam on a Raspberry Pi. Oh yeah, oh
2:19:56
yeah. Oh, on anything. But
2:19:58
then just to keep- And
2:22:00
if you don't accept that technology can help you
2:22:02
be a better writer, then you should not be a writer.
2:22:05
Something to that nature. And it was like, nice.
2:22:07
So like, you know, you could apply that to
2:22:09
anything like over the years, right? Steve, Steve Martin,
2:22:11
who was a windows, big windows fan, um, was
2:22:15
telling me that when he went gray early,
2:22:17
by the way, yes, I think so. When
2:22:19
he wrote the three amigos, yeah, he
2:22:22
wrote it in a word processor, which
2:22:24
is very early for, uh, Hollywood. Yeah.
2:22:27
And I don't remember if he told me
2:22:29
which word processor, I feel like it was,
2:22:31
it was word perfect. Probably word product back
2:22:33
then. He said he moved a paragraph and
2:22:36
he would have to get up, go have a cup of coffee. I
2:22:42
used to try to write in like geo
2:22:44
write on a Commodore 64 and you literally
2:22:46
had to go, it was like rendering a
2:22:49
3d graphic, you know, like cut and paste
2:22:51
was like, you also got into that reflex
2:22:53
save too, because sometimes it would fail. Yo,
2:22:55
all the time. It's funny though, because it
2:22:57
doesn't feel like the three amigos is that
2:22:59
old of a movie, right? It came out.
2:23:01
It was, you got to remember what
2:23:03
was going on. Prehistory.
2:23:05
Yeah. Right. And that's the date. That's when that
2:23:07
movie published. When was he playing with the screenplay?
2:23:10
Could have been, it was probably right at the
2:23:12
eighties. Yeah. Yeah. No, it was definitely dos. I
2:23:14
mean, it was, it was his first screenplay I
2:23:16
think. So yeah, yeah. Great
2:23:18
story. Yeah. Awesome. Yeah. Yeah.
2:23:20
Lucky day. Is it really the good
2:23:22
of all mankind? I don't even know. It's
2:23:26
not for the bad kind of love
2:23:28
it. Uh,
2:23:30
and then just a couple of web browser
2:23:33
updates for apps. Um, new Firefox is out.
2:23:35
This one, there's several improvements to the reader
2:23:37
mode, which I'd say, honestly, awesome. It's really,
2:23:39
I really liked the way Firefox windows texts.
2:23:41
It's really nice looking. And
2:23:44
if you were burned, uh, when arc came out of
2:23:46
windows that it was not available on windows 10 it
2:23:48
is now, they released a new version and you can
2:23:50
get it. I try and learn one of these wind
2:23:52
10 machines. I
2:23:54
love arc on Mac, but I,
2:23:58
no, it's, it's getting better. Oh,
2:30:00
look, I have to enter my birthday. I always, I always
2:30:02
love that. We have to talk a little bit about how
2:30:04
I select whiskeys for this. Sometimes a
2:30:06
listener sends me to one or sends
2:30:09
me one. Sometimes they're given
2:30:11
to me by a friend. Like there's lots of different
2:30:13
things. This was not one of these occasions. This
2:30:15
is one of these occasions where on Monday I'm like, huh,
2:30:18
what am I gonna do? I've been home for a while. What
2:30:20
am I gonna do? Right? And
2:30:23
I literally went to my
2:30:25
local whiskey store and I
2:30:27
looked on the wall and I was
2:30:29
thinking American bourbon because I hadn't done
2:30:31
a bourbon in a while. You know, it's not a time
2:30:33
to go. They did some classics, you know, I'd always check
2:30:36
which ones I've already done. What have I missed? I mean,
2:30:38
I should do a Will-It or any, any, any number of
2:30:40
that. Evan Williams and- A
2:30:42
Pappy Van Winkle. I already did, already done. But
2:30:44
you did Pappy, that's right. Not that I can
2:30:46
find that on a shelf anywhere. And
2:30:48
then I also had a hinkering for, oh, you
2:30:50
know, I've only got a couple of Japanese. Maybe I
2:30:52
should have Japanese. Crystal pig. Have
2:30:55
you done- Crystal pig. This, I saw this
2:30:57
and turns out it's- It's
2:30:59
both. It's American and
2:31:01
Japanese. Oh, combined. That's what I
2:31:03
was wanting. So this is a partnership. What the heck? Yeah,
2:31:06
well, and it's, by partnership, I
2:31:08
mean an ownership, right? Like to be clear.
2:31:10
Yes. Well, in the Microsoft sense
2:31:12
of partnership, pay a- Yeah. You
2:31:15
would partner now. But
2:31:17
what's interesting about this is that it
2:31:19
is a collab, you know, Jim Beam,
2:31:21
yes, owned by Sun Tori, but it
2:31:23
is a collaboration between Jim Beam and
2:31:25
Sun Tori. Now, obviously,
2:31:27
I'll do a quick rundown on the two
2:31:30
companies. Sun Tori, we've talked about a number
2:31:32
of times now from the original Japanese whiskey
2:31:34
show way back when, that this
2:31:36
is a Shinjiro Tori, who, you know,
2:31:38
first started selling imported wine in 1899.
2:31:41
And then there's Masaka Takasuru, who was
2:31:44
the serious whiskey guy who had been
2:31:46
trained in Scotland. And so they
2:31:48
collaborated, built the first
2:31:51
Scottish style whiskey distillery in Japan, the
2:31:53
Yamazaki distillery in 1923. It
2:31:56
took them a few years to make a whiskey. It was terrible. Takasaru,
2:32:00
you know, went back to Scotland and everything. He
2:32:02
could have tried to make it better. Finally got
2:32:04
frustrated with Tori and left in 1934, went
2:32:08
and made his own distillery, the Nikkei distillery, which is
2:32:10
up in Hokkaido in the Northern Park because it was
2:32:12
more like Scotland. Meantime,
2:32:14
you know, Shigeru Tori continued on.
2:32:17
In 1937, he finally got a
2:32:19
hit with his Suntori whiskey, which
2:32:21
the Japanese soldiers really liked. Fast
2:32:24
forward over the good years and bad years of
2:32:26
whiskey. And of course, we all
2:32:28
hear about Suntori with
2:32:31
2003 when the lost in translation comes
2:32:33
out, right? Make it
2:32:35
Suntori time. And also the same year
2:32:37
that the Yamazaki 12 was
2:32:39
the very first Japanese whiskey to ever win an
2:32:42
international contest. They got the gold medal. That
2:32:45
transformed Suntori. I've never really dug
2:32:48
into this part because by 2009,
2:32:50
Suntori is now reorganized into this
2:32:52
monster multi-entity. There's a
2:32:54
holding company, the beverage and food company.
2:32:56
There's a thing called Products Limited. There's
2:32:59
wellness, there's liquors, there's beer and
2:33:02
spirits, there's the Wine International Group
2:33:04
and they start buying entities,
2:33:06
lots of different companies to
2:33:09
the point that by the time they acquire
2:33:11
Beam in 2014, they're
2:33:14
the third largest producer of distilled
2:33:16
beverages after Diageo and Paranal Ricar.
2:33:20
Now, if you go to the Beam story, which I've
2:33:22
never talked about before because we generally don't talk about
2:33:24
Beam whiskeys for better or worse, and there's a ton
2:33:26
of them. Today, besides Jim Beam,
2:33:29
that's also Basil Hayden, Knob Creek and
2:33:31
Booker's and Baker's, and Little Book and
2:33:33
Old Tub and Old Crow, and Old
2:33:35
Granddad and Old Overholt, whatever
2:33:37
that is, and Hardin Creek, they
2:33:39
own a lot of whiskeys, some of them which they
2:33:41
made and some of them which they acquired. The
2:33:44
company goes all the way back to a
2:33:46
man named James Beam selling whiskey in
2:33:48
1795. The
2:33:51
company's officially called the James Beam Distilling
2:33:54
Company in 1935, although they ultimately
2:33:56
sell it to a guy named Harry Blum, who's
2:33:58
a spirit merchant out of Chicago. And
2:34:00
then it becomes that horrible story about
2:34:02
products where it just shifts from one
2:34:04
brand to company to another all through
2:34:06
the sixties and seventies. One
2:34:08
of them was American Brands, which was
2:34:11
originally a tobacco company, but it was
2:34:13
also in insurance and golf and home
2:34:15
hardware. And while
2:34:17
they're under that banner, an 85 American
2:34:20
Brands bought National Distillers, which is where
2:34:22
old crow comes from, and they become
2:34:24
the Jim Beam Brands Company. So they're
2:34:26
now going down that horrible path as
2:34:28
well. Until the
2:34:30
parent company American Brands becomes Fortune Brands,
2:34:32
because that's not weird or creepy at
2:34:35
all, and buys 20
2:34:37
more whiskey related brands from Allied
2:34:39
Dominique in 2005. And
2:34:42
this is when they ended up with many Scottish
2:34:44
distilleries and others as well.
2:34:47
And so by that point, it's
2:34:50
now called Beam Global Spirits and Wine. It's 2006,
2:34:53
which they actually split off
2:34:55
from Fortune Brands to
2:34:58
become a separately publicly traded company, because I guess they decided they
2:35:00
needed more money. But at the moment they were public, they were
2:35:02
a candidate for acquisition, and
2:35:04
by 2014, that's Suntory. So Suntory
2:35:07
ends up owning it, and renames
2:35:09
Suntory to Beam Suntory, largely
2:35:11
because they were concerned that Suntory was not
2:35:13
well known in the US market, but Jim
2:35:15
Beam is, and so the name was really
2:35:17
important. So they thought, they
2:35:19
don't think that anymore. As of May of
2:35:21
this year, this parent company is
2:35:24
now called Suntory Global Spirits. So
2:35:27
there's the origin of the two companies that
2:35:30
collaborate over this whiskey, even though they've basically
2:35:32
been the same company for 10 plus years.
2:35:34
But, you know, Suntory being
2:35:36
one of the good guys, I
2:35:38
think, like Diageo, where they've really done
2:35:40
a lot of work to protect brands
2:35:42
and arguably enhance those brands. Suntory is
2:35:45
also the guys who facilitated Maker's Mark
2:35:47
making their seller edition some very good
2:35:49
whiskey. They wouldn't have been able to
2:35:51
make without the money available to them
2:35:53
that Suntory has to be able to expand,
2:35:56
otherwise it was a very small operation. collaboration
2:36:01
part of this whiskey is between
2:36:03
two people, Fred No and
2:36:05
Shinju Fukuyo. So
2:36:08
Fred No is a seventh generation
2:36:10
master distiller. He is literally the
2:36:12
great grandson of Jim Beam. So
2:36:16
this is the family heritage of Jim Beam,
2:36:18
which is still involved. And the
2:36:20
core of this whiskey is a Jim, Jim
2:36:22
Beam mash bill. So 76% corn, 12%, rye,
2:36:24
10% barley. And
2:36:28
then it goes into American Oak for
2:36:31
five years, which is super normal.
2:36:33
That to me is an
2:36:35
American bourbon, right? Except
2:36:37
it's not because after
2:36:39
that they take a portion of
2:36:41
the batch and they
2:36:44
put it into California red wine
2:36:46
Oak casks for about
2:36:48
a year. And another portion goes
2:36:50
into Sherry casks for a couple
2:36:53
of years. And then
2:36:55
the separate, what they call parcels.
2:36:57
These products are blended by
2:37:00
Shinji. So Fred No is responsible for
2:37:02
making the bourbon and setting up the
2:37:04
barrelings. And then all of those parcels
2:37:06
of the product and different barrels goes
2:37:08
over to Shinji, who is only the
2:37:10
fifth ever blender for Suntory.
2:37:12
And remember the Suntory made their
2:37:14
money on blended whiskey. Their single
2:37:17
malts are an anomaly, but their
2:37:19
famous yellow label Suntory whiskey. It's
2:37:21
always been a blend. Their blends
2:37:23
have always been their business. The
2:37:25
challenge here is that. Japanese
2:37:29
whiskey has always been made in the Scottish
2:37:31
style. They only work in barley. So for
2:37:33
for Shinji, this is kind of a shock
2:37:35
that here you have this mash bill concept
2:37:38
as well as this array of barrels. So
2:37:40
he's trying to assemble different flavors together and
2:37:42
does this unique blending. And they did the
2:37:44
first version of this back in 2019. So
2:37:48
it's been around a few years. I just finally ran
2:37:50
into it. The crazy part is, what do you even
2:37:52
call this? Because it breaks
2:37:54
the rules for American bourbon and it
2:37:56
breaks the rules for Japanese whiskey nominally.
2:38:00
it is an American blended whiskey.
2:38:04
But that has a very bad reputation.
2:38:06
Like generally speaking, blended whiskeys are frowned
2:38:08
on in the American market. They
2:38:11
don't mind buying a Scottish blended whiskey like
2:38:13
a Chivas or a famous Grouse. And they
2:38:15
certainly don't mind buying Japanese whiskeys that way.
2:38:18
But when it comes to American, that's kind
2:38:20
of a problem. Although I would
2:38:22
point out that Jim
2:38:24
Beam makes a blended
2:38:27
whiskey too called Little Book. And
2:38:29
coincidentally, the master distiller in charge
2:38:32
of Little Book is
2:38:34
Fred Knows' son, Freddie.
2:38:38
So all in the family. On
2:38:41
the other hand, and the other part about
2:38:43
this is, okay, so I like a blend
2:38:45
because somebody did this intentionally. They put the
2:38:47
pieces together. They were looking for a flavor
2:38:49
profile. Shinji goes into
2:38:51
the idea of like the fruitiness, I find too
2:38:53
sweet when it's just bourbon, too much caramel. I
2:38:55
want a little more fruit. I want a little
2:38:57
more tannins. And so he gets that from the
2:39:00
wine and from the sherry. The
2:39:02
other part is they don't do chill filtration and
2:39:04
they don't do coloring. So one
2:39:06
of the complaints from some of the
2:39:08
reviewers is that depending on the bottle
2:39:10
of this you buy, different colors, different shades,
2:39:13
because not every barrel behaves the same way.
2:39:15
And they're not trying to compensate for that.
2:39:17
They're focused on a consistent flavor
2:39:20
and they get it. Well, as far as I know, I've only had
2:39:22
one bottle of this so far. So
2:39:25
up front of the nose, this is only 47%. So
2:39:27
not a lot of burn, but it's not pathetic
2:39:29
either. Like you definitely know there's alcohol in there. It's
2:39:32
got that burnt caramel, butterscotch kind of,
2:39:34
I think I'm drinking bourbon, like here
2:39:37
it comes. And
2:39:41
then a weird fruit note hits you. Like that's
2:39:43
not what happens with bourbon normally. This is much
2:39:46
more like a ported scotch,
2:39:49
like that's strange. But
2:39:52
then it's got a sort of tightness
2:39:54
coming off your mouth after that, more of
2:39:57
the leather and the smoky. There's any peat
2:39:59
in this. and lots and
2:40:01
lots of warming. So good evening
2:40:03
drink, although I'm drinking in the afternoon,
2:40:05
but I drink in the afternoon every
2:40:07
Wednesday. What's
2:40:10
brilliant about it? 44 bucks from
2:40:12
Total Wine. You
2:40:15
know, because it's not a single
2:40:17
malt, because they're not being pretentious
2:40:19
about it. What they did was they
2:40:21
made the best whiskey they could using
2:40:23
a different set of skills and a
2:40:25
sort of typical production. So it's reasonably
2:40:27
priced for an unusual whiskey. Without
2:40:33
being awful, right? When we
2:40:35
talked about J.D., I'm like, I'm impressed with how good
2:40:37
J.D. is for a $20 bottle of wine. I'm looking
2:40:39
for a whiskey that's not awful. That seems like... I
2:40:45
care less, honestly. About
2:40:50
awfulness or about leather off through your
2:40:52
mouth? About awfulness. But a
2:40:54
couple of the themes that have come out with doing
2:40:56
this on a routine basis is like, I'm learning not
2:40:58
to hate the conglomerates because they seem to be doing
2:41:01
good things. And
2:41:03
I'm learning to resist the... Not
2:41:06
that I've ever... People consider me
2:41:08
pretentious about whiskey just because I'm knowledgeable.
2:41:11
Although, whenever I ask you what my favorite is, it's like the
2:41:13
one sitting in front of me. I'm
2:41:17
not that idealistic. I
2:41:19
like that. That's a good
2:41:21
motto. Yeah. I
2:41:23
got a little Glenn Gehrig in
2:41:26
the decanter behind me and it's still fantastic. We talked about
2:41:28
it a while ago and I put it in the decanter.
2:41:31
This is a big, rich, jammy...
2:41:34
It's a surprise. You don't expect this
2:41:37
much from a $44 bottle of
2:41:39
American bourbon that
2:41:42
even can't be called American bourbon. Even though
2:41:44
it says on the label here, Kentucky-straight bourbon
2:41:46
whiskey partially finished in wine and sherry cast.
2:41:48
So they're being honest, but
2:41:50
not by according to the FDA rules, it's not really
2:41:52
a bourbon, right? So
2:41:55
they've definitely tinkered with it, but they've tinkered with
2:41:57
it in a lovely way. Legend
2:42:01
with a T at the end. Apparently
2:42:04
it's Legion. Legion. I had to
2:42:06
look it up. I am Legion. Its names are
2:42:08
Legion. Yes. Once
2:42:12
again, I'm at work and
2:42:15
I'm drinking. It
2:42:18
must be Wednesday. That's a good job. It
2:42:20
must be Wednesday. Sometimes that's because my whole
2:42:23
afternoon. That's Richard
2:42:25
Campbell. He is runasradio.com
2:42:27
and .netrocks. Also
2:42:30
runasradio.com. Always a pleasure. Our
2:42:32
whiskey expert and
2:42:34
aficionado, but not snob. And
2:42:36
I like that. Paul
2:42:39
Thorott, he's a snob. He admits it. Yes.
2:42:44
He's at thorott.com.
2:42:46
t-h-u-r-r-o-double-good.com. Make
2:42:50
sure you become a premium member. Kevin,
2:42:52
you've got to pay for your premium membership
2:42:55
and log in so that you get all
2:42:57
the special goodness, all
2:42:59
the best stuff from thorott.com.
2:43:01
And also his books, Join
2:43:04
the Crowd with the Love of Tech
2:43:07
is Real. Did you make that
2:43:09
up, Paul? It's a great line. I love it. That's
2:43:12
a pre-me owning the business tagline
2:43:14
you just reminded me I should
2:43:16
probably update, but I'm
2:43:20
sure I okayed it. At
2:43:25
some point you just kind of said, we're just going to
2:43:28
listen to what the marketing people say for a little while.
2:43:31
We, when I was at Ziff Davis
2:43:33
television, later tech TV, Ziff
2:43:35
Davis' slogan was believe in
2:43:38
technology. Nice. Which
2:43:40
I always thought maybe was a little
2:43:42
too... Was there
2:43:44
a cross and then like... Yeah, exactly. A
2:43:48
little too uncritical. So we always at the
2:43:50
end of every screen saver. Not in your
2:43:52
God. Kate and I would always end.
2:43:55
Believe in technology, but you know, back up
2:43:57
your hard drive and things like that. It's
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